Cemex Sab De Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.52

CXMSF Stock  USD 0.55  0.01  1.85%   
CEMEX SAB's future price is the expected price of CEMEX SAB instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CEMEX SAB de performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CEMEX SAB Backtesting, CEMEX SAB Valuation, CEMEX SAB Correlation, CEMEX SAB Hype Analysis, CEMEX SAB Volatility, CEMEX SAB History as well as CEMEX SAB Performance.
  
Please specify CEMEX SAB's target price for which you would like CEMEX SAB odds to be computed.

CEMEX SAB Target Price Odds to finish below 0.52

The tendency of CEMEX Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.52  or more in 90 days
 0.55 90 days 0.52 
about 1.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CEMEX SAB to drop to $ 0.52  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.08 (This CEMEX SAB de probability density function shows the probability of CEMEX Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CEMEX SAB de price to stay between $ 0.52  and its current price of $0.55 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.5 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon CEMEX SAB has a beta of 0.15 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CEMEX SAB average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CEMEX SAB de will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CEMEX SAB de has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   CEMEX SAB Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CEMEX SAB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CEMEX SAB de. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CEMEX SAB's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.554.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.484.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.524.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.520.560.59
Details

CEMEX SAB Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CEMEX SAB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CEMEX SAB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CEMEX SAB de, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CEMEX SAB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.15
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

CEMEX SAB Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CEMEX SAB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CEMEX SAB de can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CEMEX SAB de generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
CEMEX SAB de has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
CEMEX SAB de has high historical volatility and very poor performance
CEMEX SAB de has accumulated 7.31 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.83, which is about average as compared to similar companies. CEMEX SAB de has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist CEMEX SAB until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, CEMEX SAB's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like CEMEX SAB de sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for CEMEX to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about CEMEX SAB's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

CEMEX SAB Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CEMEX Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CEMEX SAB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CEMEX SAB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding45.5 B

CEMEX SAB Technical Analysis

CEMEX SAB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CEMEX Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CEMEX SAB de. In general, you should focus on analyzing CEMEX Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CEMEX SAB Predictive Forecast Models

CEMEX SAB's time-series forecasting models is one of many CEMEX SAB's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CEMEX SAB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CEMEX SAB de

Checking the ongoing alerts about CEMEX SAB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CEMEX SAB de help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CEMEX SAB de generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
CEMEX SAB de has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
CEMEX SAB de has high historical volatility and very poor performance
CEMEX SAB de has accumulated 7.31 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.83, which is about average as compared to similar companies. CEMEX SAB de has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist CEMEX SAB until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, CEMEX SAB's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like CEMEX SAB de sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for CEMEX to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about CEMEX SAB's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in CEMEX Pink Sheet

When determining whether CEMEX SAB de offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of CEMEX SAB's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Cemex Sab De Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Cemex Sab De Stock:
Check out CEMEX SAB Backtesting, CEMEX SAB Valuation, CEMEX SAB Correlation, CEMEX SAB Hype Analysis, CEMEX SAB Volatility, CEMEX SAB History as well as CEMEX SAB Performance.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between CEMEX SAB's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CEMEX SAB is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CEMEX SAB's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.