Cyclo Therapeutics Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.01
| CYTH Stock | USD 0.68 0.05 6.85% |
Cyclo |
Cyclo Therapeutics Target Price Odds to finish below 0.01
The tendency of Cyclo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.01 or more in 90 days |
| 0.68 | 90 days | 0.01 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cyclo Therapeutics to drop to $ 0.01 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Cyclo Therapeutics probability density function shows the probability of Cyclo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cyclo Therapeutics price to stay between $ 0.01 and its current price of $0.68 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.44 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cyclo Therapeutics has a beta of 0.2 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cyclo Therapeutics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cyclo Therapeutics will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cyclo Therapeutics has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Cyclo Therapeutics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cyclo Therapeutics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cyclo Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cyclo Therapeutics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cyclo Therapeutics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cyclo Therapeutics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cyclo Therapeutics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cyclo Therapeutics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cyclo Therapeutics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Cyclo Therapeutics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cyclo Therapeutics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cyclo Therapeutics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cyclo Therapeutics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Cyclo Therapeutics has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Cyclo Therapeutics has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Cyclo Therapeutics has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (20.06 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.23 M. | |
| Cyclo Therapeutics currently holds about 4.29 M in cash with (16.19 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.51. | |
| Cyclo Therapeutics has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: HAREHOLDER INVESTIGATION The MA Class Action Firm Continues to Investigate the Mergers ... |
Cyclo Therapeutics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cyclo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cyclo Therapeutics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cyclo Therapeutics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.2 M | |
| Shares Float | 15.9 M |
Cyclo Therapeutics Technical Analysis
Cyclo Therapeutics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cyclo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cyclo Therapeutics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cyclo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cyclo Therapeutics Predictive Forecast Models
Cyclo Therapeutics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Cyclo Therapeutics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cyclo Therapeutics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cyclo Therapeutics
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cyclo Therapeutics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cyclo Therapeutics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cyclo Therapeutics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Cyclo Therapeutics has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Cyclo Therapeutics has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Cyclo Therapeutics has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (20.06 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.23 M. | |
| Cyclo Therapeutics currently holds about 4.29 M in cash with (16.19 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.51. | |
| Cyclo Therapeutics has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: HAREHOLDER INVESTIGATION The MA Class Action Firm Continues to Investigate the Mergers ... |
Check out Cyclo Therapeutics Backtesting, Cyclo Therapeutics Valuation, Cyclo Therapeutics Correlation, Cyclo Therapeutics Hype Analysis, Cyclo Therapeutics Volatility, Cyclo Therapeutics History as well as Cyclo Therapeutics Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Cyclo Stock please use our How to Invest in Cyclo Therapeutics guide.You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cyclo Therapeutics. If investors know Cyclo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cyclo Therapeutics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.90) | Revenue Per Share 0.046 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.051 | Return On Assets (2.82) | Return On Equity (226.64) |
The market value of Cyclo Therapeutics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cyclo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cyclo Therapeutics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cyclo Therapeutics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cyclo Therapeutics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cyclo Therapeutics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cyclo Therapeutics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cyclo Therapeutics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cyclo Therapeutics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.