Cyclo Therapeutics Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| CYTH Stock | USD 0.64 0.08 11.11% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cyclo Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 0.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.32. Cyclo Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Cyclo Therapeutics' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Cyclo |
Cyclo Therapeutics Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cyclo Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 0.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0009, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.32.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cyclo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cyclo Therapeutics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Cyclo Therapeutics Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Cyclo Therapeutics | Cyclo Therapeutics Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Cyclo Therapeutics Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Cyclo Therapeutics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cyclo Therapeutics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.06, respectively. We have considered Cyclo Therapeutics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cyclo Therapeutics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cyclo Therapeutics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.2248 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.022 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0311 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.3226 |
Predictive Modules for Cyclo Therapeutics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cyclo Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cyclo Therapeutics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Cyclo Therapeutics
For every potential investor in Cyclo, whether a beginner or expert, Cyclo Therapeutics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cyclo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cyclo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cyclo Therapeutics' price trends.Cyclo Therapeutics Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cyclo Therapeutics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cyclo Therapeutics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cyclo Therapeutics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cyclo Therapeutics Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cyclo Therapeutics' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cyclo Therapeutics' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Cyclo Therapeutics Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cyclo Therapeutics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cyclo Therapeutics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cyclo Therapeutics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cyclo Therapeutics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Cyclo Therapeutics Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cyclo Therapeutics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cyclo Therapeutics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cyclo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.33 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.36 | |||
| Variance | 19.02 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether Cyclo Therapeutics is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cyclo Therapeutics' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cyclo Therapeutics' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cyclo Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cyclo Therapeutics to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Cyclo Stock please use our How to Invest in Cyclo Therapeutics guide.You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cyclo Therapeutics. If investors know Cyclo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cyclo Therapeutics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.90) | Revenue Per Share 0.046 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.051 | Return On Assets (2.82) | Return On Equity (226.64) |
The market value of Cyclo Therapeutics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cyclo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cyclo Therapeutics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cyclo Therapeutics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cyclo Therapeutics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cyclo Therapeutics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cyclo Therapeutics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cyclo Therapeutics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cyclo Therapeutics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.