Choice Hotels (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 131.92
| CZH Stock | EUR 142.00 1.00 0.71% |
Choice |
Choice Hotels Target Price Odds to finish over 131.92
The tendency of Choice Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 131.92 in 90 days |
| 142.00 | 90 days | 131.92 | about 13.23 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Choice Hotels to stay above € 131.92 in 90 days from now is about 13.23 (This Choice Hotels International probability density function shows the probability of Choice Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Choice Hotels Intern price to stay between € 131.92 and its current price of €142.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.71 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Choice Hotels has a beta of 0.54 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Choice Hotels average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Choice Hotels International will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Choice Hotels International has an alpha of 0.3022, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Choice Hotels Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Choice Hotels
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Choice Hotels Intern. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Choice Hotels Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Choice Hotels is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Choice Hotels' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Choice Hotels International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Choice Hotels within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.54 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 9.59 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
Choice Hotels Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Choice Hotels for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Choice Hotels Intern can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Choice Hotels International has accumulated 1.2 B in total debt. Choice Hotels Intern has a current ratio of 0.8, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Choice Hotels until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Choice Hotels' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Choice Hotels Intern sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Choice to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Choice Hotels' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 58.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Choice Hotels Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Choice Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Choice Hotels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Choice Hotels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 53.3 M |
Choice Hotels Technical Analysis
Choice Hotels' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Choice Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Choice Hotels International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Choice Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Choice Hotels Predictive Forecast Models
Choice Hotels' time-series forecasting models is one of many Choice Hotels' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Choice Hotels' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Choice Hotels Intern
Checking the ongoing alerts about Choice Hotels for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Choice Hotels Intern help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Choice Hotels International has accumulated 1.2 B in total debt. Choice Hotels Intern has a current ratio of 0.8, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Choice Hotels until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Choice Hotels' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Choice Hotels Intern sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Choice to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Choice Hotels' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 58.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Choice Stock
When determining whether Choice Hotels Intern offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Choice Hotels' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Choice Hotels International Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Choice Hotels International Stock:Check out Choice Hotels Backtesting, Choice Hotels Valuation, Choice Hotels Correlation, Choice Hotels Hype Analysis, Choice Hotels Volatility, Choice Hotels History as well as Choice Hotels Performance. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.