Dagi Yatirim (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.97

DAGHL Stock  TRY 16.88  0.11  0.65%   
Dagi Yatirim's future price is the expected price of Dagi Yatirim instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dagi Yatirim Holding performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dagi Yatirim Backtesting, Dagi Yatirim Valuation, Dagi Yatirim Correlation, Dagi Yatirim Hype Analysis, Dagi Yatirim Volatility, Dagi Yatirim History as well as Dagi Yatirim Performance.
  
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Dagi Yatirim Target Price Odds to finish below 13.97

The tendency of Dagi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  13.97  or more in 90 days
 16.88 90 days 13.97 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dagi Yatirim to drop to  13.97  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Dagi Yatirim Holding probability density function shows the probability of Dagi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dagi Yatirim Holding price to stay between  13.97  and its current price of 16.88 at the end of the 90-day period is about 54.98 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dagi Yatirim Holding has a beta of -0.0879 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Dagi Yatirim are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Dagi Yatirim Holding is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Dagi Yatirim Holding has an alpha of 0.1748, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Dagi Yatirim Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dagi Yatirim

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dagi Yatirim Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.8616.8819.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.9513.9616.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.4216.4319.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.8116.9217.02
Details

Dagi Yatirim Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dagi Yatirim is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dagi Yatirim's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dagi Yatirim Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dagi Yatirim within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.09
σ
Overall volatility
1.41
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Dagi Yatirim Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dagi Yatirim for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dagi Yatirim Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dagi Yatirim Holding had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Dagi Yatirim Holding has accumulated about 76.29 K in cash with (687.28 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Dagi Yatirim Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dagi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dagi Yatirim's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dagi Yatirim's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding10.8 M

Dagi Yatirim Technical Analysis

Dagi Yatirim's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dagi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dagi Yatirim Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dagi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dagi Yatirim Predictive Forecast Models

Dagi Yatirim's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dagi Yatirim's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dagi Yatirim's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dagi Yatirim Holding

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dagi Yatirim for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dagi Yatirim Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dagi Yatirim Holding had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Dagi Yatirim Holding has accumulated about 76.29 K in cash with (687.28 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Dagi Stock

Dagi Yatirim financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dagi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dagi with respect to the benefits of owning Dagi Yatirim security.