Deutsche Bank (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 93.78
| DBAG34 Stock | BRL 97.35 0.04 0.04% |
Deutsche |
Deutsche Bank Target Price Odds to finish below 93.78
The tendency of Deutsche Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to R$ 93.78 or more in 90 days |
| 97.35 | 90 days | 93.78 | about 44.02 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Deutsche Bank to drop to R$ 93.78 or more in 90 days from now is about 44.02 (This Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft probability density function shows the probability of Deutsche Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Deutsche Bank Aktien price to stay between R$ 93.78 and its current price of R$97.35 at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.21 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Deutsche Bank has a beta of 0.22 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Deutsche Bank average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft has an alpha of 0.1907, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Deutsche Bank Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Deutsche Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Deutsche Bank Aktien. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Deutsche Bank Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Deutsche Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Deutsche Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Deutsche Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Deutsche Bank Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Deutsche Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Deutsche Bank Aktien can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft has accumulated about 600.75 B in cash with (37.58 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 291.19. |
Deutsche Bank Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Deutsche Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Deutsche Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Deutsche Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.1 B |
Deutsche Bank Technical Analysis
Deutsche Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Deutsche Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft. In general, you should focus on analyzing Deutsche Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Deutsche Bank Predictive Forecast Models
Deutsche Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Deutsche Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Deutsche Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Deutsche Bank Aktien
Checking the ongoing alerts about Deutsche Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Deutsche Bank Aktien help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft has accumulated about 600.75 B in cash with (37.58 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 291.19. |
Other Information on Investing in Deutsche Stock
Deutsche Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Deutsche Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Deutsche with respect to the benefits of owning Deutsche Bank security.