Dbv Technologies Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.6
| DBVT Stock | USD 3.90 3.29 539.34% |
DBV |
DBV Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 0.6
The tendency of DBV Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.60 or more in 90 days |
| 3.90 | 90 days | 0.60 | about 13.39 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DBV Technologies to drop to $ 0.60 or more in 90 days from now is about 13.39 (This DBV Technologies probability density function shows the probability of DBV Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of DBV Technologies price to stay between $ 0.60 and its current price of $3.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.55 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days DBV Technologies has a beta of 0.49 suggesting as returns on the market go up, DBV Technologies average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding DBV Technologies will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally DBV Technologies has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. DBV Technologies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for DBV Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DBV Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of DBV Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
DBV Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DBV Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DBV Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DBV Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DBV Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.47 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.1 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
DBV Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DBV Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DBV Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| DBV Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| DBV Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.16 M. Net Loss for the year was (72.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.84 M. | |
| DBV Technologies currently holds about 247.97 M in cash with (79.65 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.32. | |
| DBV Technologies has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Dbv technologies chief medical officer sells shares worth 1,269 |
DBV Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of DBV Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential DBV Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DBV Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 95.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 141.4 M |
DBV Technologies Technical Analysis
DBV Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DBV Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DBV Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing DBV Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
DBV Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
DBV Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many DBV Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary DBV Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about DBV Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about DBV Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for DBV Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| DBV Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| DBV Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.16 M. Net Loss for the year was (72.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.84 M. | |
| DBV Technologies currently holds about 247.97 M in cash with (79.65 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.32. | |
| DBV Technologies has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Dbv technologies chief medical officer sells shares worth 1,269 |
Additional Tools for DBV Stock Analysis
When running DBV Technologies' price analysis, check to measure DBV Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy DBV Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of DBV Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of DBV Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move DBV Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of DBV Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.