Delta Corp (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 105.58

DELTACORP   113.30  0.42  0.37%   
Delta Corp's future price is the expected price of Delta Corp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Delta Corp Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Delta Corp Backtesting, Delta Corp Valuation, Delta Corp Correlation, Delta Corp Hype Analysis, Delta Corp Volatility, Delta Corp History as well as Delta Corp Performance.
  
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Delta Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 105.58

The tendency of Delta Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  105.58  or more in 90 days
 113.30 90 days 105.58 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Delta Corp to drop to  105.58  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Delta Corp Limited probability density function shows the probability of Delta Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Delta Corp Limited price to stay between  105.58  and its current price of 113.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.28 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Delta Corp has a beta of 0.28 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Delta Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Delta Corp Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Delta Corp Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Delta Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Delta Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Delta Corp Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
111.96113.68115.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
103.65105.37124.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
110.91112.63114.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
105.23115.22125.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Delta Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Delta Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Delta Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Delta Corp Limited.

Delta Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Delta Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Delta Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Delta Corp Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Delta Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.28
σ
Overall volatility
4.51
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Delta Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Delta Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Delta Corp Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Delta Corp Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Delta Corp Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 33.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Delta Corp shares jump over 7 percent as SC agrees to hear online gaming industrys pleas against GST notices - The Economic Times

Delta Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Delta Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Delta Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Delta Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding267.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments6.6 B

Delta Corp Technical Analysis

Delta Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Delta Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Delta Corp Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Delta Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Delta Corp Predictive Forecast Models

Delta Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Delta Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Delta Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Delta Corp Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about Delta Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Delta Corp Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Delta Corp Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Delta Corp Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 33.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Delta Corp shares jump over 7 percent as SC agrees to hear online gaming industrys pleas against GST notices - The Economic Times

Other Information on Investing in Delta Stock

Delta Corp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Delta Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Delta with respect to the benefits of owning Delta Corp security.