DEME Group (Belgium) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 119.91
| DEME Stock | 146.80 3.60 2.51% |
DEME |
DEME Group Target Price Odds to finish below 119.91
The tendency of DEME Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 119.91 or more in 90 days |
| 146.80 | 90 days | 119.91 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DEME Group to drop to 119.91 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This DEME Group NV probability density function shows the probability of DEME Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of DEME Group NV price to stay between 119.91 and its current price of 146.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon DEME Group NV has a beta of -0.26 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding DEME Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, DEME Group NV is likely to outperform the market. Additionally DEME Group NV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. DEME Group Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for DEME Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DEME Group NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.DEME Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DEME Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DEME Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DEME Group NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DEME Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 9.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
DEME Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DEME Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DEME Group NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| DEME Group NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
DEME Group Technical Analysis
DEME Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DEME Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DEME Group NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing DEME Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
DEME Group Predictive Forecast Models
DEME Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many DEME Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary DEME Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about DEME Group NV
Checking the ongoing alerts about DEME Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for DEME Group NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| DEME Group NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for DEME Stock Analysis
When running DEME Group's price analysis, check to measure DEME Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy DEME Group is operating at the current time. Most of DEME Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of DEME Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move DEME Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of DEME Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.