Journey Medical Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.74
| DERM Stock | USD 5.74 0.37 6.89% |
Journey |
Journey Medical Target Price Odds to finish below 5.74
The tendency of Journey Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 5.74 | 90 days | 5.74 | about 70.46 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Journey Medical to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 70.46 (This Journey Medical Corp probability density function shows the probability of Journey Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.42 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Journey Medical will likely underperform. Additionally Journey Medical Corp has an alpha of 0.1698, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Journey Medical Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Journey Medical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Journey Medical Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Journey Medical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Journey Medical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Journey Medical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Journey Medical Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Journey Medical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Journey Medical Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Journey Medical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Journey Medical Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Journey Medical Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 79.18 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.85 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 42.89 M. | |
| About 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: FY2024 EPS Forecast for Journey Medical Lowered by Analyst - MarketBeat |
Journey Medical Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Journey Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Journey Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Journey Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 18.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 27.4 M |
Journey Medical Technical Analysis
Journey Medical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Journey Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Journey Medical Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Journey Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Journey Medical Predictive Forecast Models
Journey Medical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Journey Medical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Journey Medical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Journey Medical Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Journey Medical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Journey Medical Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Journey Medical Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 79.18 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.85 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 42.89 M. | |
| About 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: FY2024 EPS Forecast for Journey Medical Lowered by Analyst - MarketBeat |
Check out Journey Medical Backtesting, Journey Medical Valuation, Journey Medical Correlation, Journey Medical Hype Analysis, Journey Medical Volatility, Journey Medical History as well as Journey Medical Performance. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Journey Medical. If investors know Journey will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Journey Medical listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.92) | Revenue Per Share 2.921 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.58) | Return On Assets (0.17) | Return On Equity (1.30) |
The market value of Journey Medical Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Journey that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Journey Medical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Journey Medical's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Journey Medical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Journey Medical's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Journey Medical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Journey Medical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Journey Medical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.