DBS Group (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 26.92

DEVL Stock  EUR 29.92  0.19  0.63%   
DBS Group's future price is the expected price of DBS Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of DBS Group Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out DBS Group Backtesting, DBS Group Valuation, DBS Group Correlation, DBS Group Hype Analysis, DBS Group Volatility, DBS Group History as well as DBS Group Performance.
  
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DBS Group Target Price Odds to finish below 26.92

The tendency of DBS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 26.92  or more in 90 days
 29.92 90 days 26.92 
about 57.62
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DBS Group to drop to € 26.92  or more in 90 days from now is about 57.62 (This DBS Group Holdings probability density function shows the probability of DBS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of DBS Group Holdings price to stay between € 26.92  and its current price of €29.92 at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon DBS Group Holdings has a beta of -0.21 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding DBS Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, DBS Group Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally DBS Group Holdings has an alpha of 0.3704, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   DBS Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for DBS Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DBS Group Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.3429.9231.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.0928.6730.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
28.5630.1331.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
29.8029.9830.16
Details

DBS Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DBS Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DBS Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DBS Group Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DBS Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.37
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.21
σ
Overall volatility
1.62
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

DBS Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DBS Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DBS Group Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 58.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

DBS Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of DBS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential DBS Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DBS Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.6 B

DBS Group Technical Analysis

DBS Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DBS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DBS Group Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing DBS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

DBS Group Predictive Forecast Models

DBS Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many DBS Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary DBS Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about DBS Group Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about DBS Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for DBS Group Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 58.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Other Information on Investing in DBS Stock

DBS Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether DBS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DBS with respect to the benefits of owning DBS Group security.