Defsec Technologies Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.80
| DFSC Stock | 1.80 0.10 5.26% |
DEFSEC Technologies Target Price Odds to finish over 1.80
The tendency of DEFSEC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 1.80 | 90 days | 1.80 | about 83.79 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DEFSEC Technologies to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 83.79 (This DEFSEC Technologies probability density function shows the probability of DEFSEC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
DEFSEC Technologies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for DEFSEC Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DEFSEC Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of DEFSEC Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
DEFSEC Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DEFSEC Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DEFSEC Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DEFSEC Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DEFSEC Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.8 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.66 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
DEFSEC Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DEFSEC Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DEFSEC Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| DEFSEC Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| DEFSEC Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| DEFSEC Technologies may become a speculative penny stock | |
| DEFSEC Technologies has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| DEFSEC Technologies was previously known as KWESST Micro Systems and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol KWE. | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.94 M. Net Loss for the year was (9.63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.38 M. | |
| DEFSEC Technologies generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| DEFSEC Technologies has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: DEFSEC Technologies Announces Senior Executive Appointment |
DEFSEC Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of DEFSEC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential DEFSEC Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DEFSEC Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 610.2 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.7 M |
DEFSEC Technologies Technical Analysis
DEFSEC Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DEFSEC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DEFSEC Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing DEFSEC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
DEFSEC Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
DEFSEC Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many DEFSEC Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary DEFSEC Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about DEFSEC Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about DEFSEC Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for DEFSEC Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| DEFSEC Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| DEFSEC Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| DEFSEC Technologies may become a speculative penny stock | |
| DEFSEC Technologies has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| DEFSEC Technologies was previously known as KWESST Micro Systems and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol KWE. | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.94 M. Net Loss for the year was (9.63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.38 M. | |
| DEFSEC Technologies generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| DEFSEC Technologies has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: DEFSEC Technologies Announces Senior Executive Appointment |
Check out DEFSEC Technologies Analysis, DEFSEC Technologies Valuation, DEFSEC Technologies Correlation, DEFSEC Technologies Hype Analysis, DEFSEC Technologies Volatility, DEFSEC Technologies Price History as well as DEFSEC Technologies Performance. For information on how to trade DEFSEC Stock refer to our How to Trade DEFSEC Stock guide.You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Will Aerospace & Defense sector continue expanding? Could DEFSEC diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of DEFSEC Technologies. Projected growth potential of DEFSEC fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every DEFSEC Technologies data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (31.31) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 3.302 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Investors evaluate DEFSEC Technologies using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating DEFSEC Technologies' intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause DEFSEC Technologies' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between DEFSEC Technologies' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding DEFSEC Technologies should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, DEFSEC Technologies' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.