Defsec Technologies Stock Market Outlook
| DFSC Stock | 1.90 0.10 5.56% |
About 51% of DEFSEC Technologies' shareholders are presently thinking to get in. The analysis of the overall prospects from investing in DEFSEC Technologies suggests that some traders are, at the present time, interested. The current market sentiment, together with DEFSEC Technologies' historical and current headlines, can help investors time the market. In addition, many technical investors use DEFSEC Technologies stock news signals to limit their universe of possible portfolio assets.
Comfort Level 51
Impartial
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use DEFSEC Technologies' input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward DEFSEC Technologies.
News SentimentBearish | Hype SentimentBullish | Insider SentimentWaiting |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding DEFSEC Technologies is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides DEFSEC Technologies buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding DFSC positions.
Execute DEFSEC Technologies Advice
The DEFSEC recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on DEFSEC Technologies. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in DEFSEC Technologies or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute DEFSEC Technologies' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Weakest | Details | |
Volatility | Dangerous | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Risky | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
For the selected time horizon DEFSEC Technologies has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07), Jensen Alpha of (0.80), Total Risk Alpha of (1.10) and Treynor Ratio of (0.24)We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on DEFSEC Technologies. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available right now. To make sure DEFSEC Technologies is not overpriced, please confirm all DEFSEC Technologies fundamentals, including its revenue, cash flow from operations, and the relationship between the number of shares shorted and net income . Please also check DEFSEC Technologies shares owned by insiders to verify your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the future.
DEFSEC Technologies Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| DEFSEC Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| DEFSEC Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| DEFSEC Technologies may become a speculative penny stock | |
| DEFSEC Technologies has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| DEFSEC Technologies was previously known as KWESST Micro Systems and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol KWE. | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.94 M. Net Loss for the year was (9.63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.38 M. | |
| DEFSEC Technologies generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| DEFSEC Technologies has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: DEFSEC Technologies Announces Senior Executive Appointment |
DEFSEC Technologies Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of DEFSEC Technologies' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of DEFSEC Technologies' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of DEFSEC Technologies daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use DEFSEC Technologies price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of DEFSEC Technologies returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for DEFSEC Technologies.
| Mean Return | -0.63 | Value At Risk | -7.25 | Potential Upside | 9.38 | Standard Deviation | 6.19 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of DEFSEC Technologies historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
DEFSEC Technologies Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Capital Expenditures | 1.4M | 1.3M | 111.2K | 167.3K | 150.6K | 143.0K | |
| Net Income | (10.5M) | (9.3M) | (7.4M) | (9.6M) | (8.7M) | (9.1M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 170.5K | 5.4M | 256.8K | 6.7M | 7.7M | 8.1M | |
| Change To Inventory | 49.4K | (148.9K) | 9.2K | 13.6K | 12.2K | 12.8K | |
| Change In Cash | (2.5M) | 5.2M | (5.2M) | 6.4M | 7.4M | 7.8M | |
| Net Borrowings | 2.5M | (2.4M) | (197.7K) | (172.2K) | (154.9K) | (162.7K) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (5.6M) | (15.4M) | (9.2M) | (8.1M) | (7.3M) | (7.7M) | |
| Depreciation | 326.5K | 952.5K | 1.3M | 1.1M | 1.2M | 831.5K | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 386.8K | (3.8M) | (2.8M) | 832.4K | 749.2K | 786.6K |
DEFSEC Technologies Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to DEFSEC Technologies or Aerospace & Defense sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that DEFSEC Technologies' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a DEFSEC stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.8 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.66 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
DEFSEC Technologies Volatility Alert
DEFSEC Technologies is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure DEFSEC Technologies' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact DEFSEC Technologies' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.DEFSEC Technologies Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing DEFSEC Technologies' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze DEFSEC Technologies' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between DEFSEC Technologies and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as DEFSEC Technologies or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of DEFSEC Technologies' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing DEFSEC Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare DEFSEC Technologies to competition |
| Fundamentals | DEFSEC Technologies | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -2.47 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.63 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (2.31) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (1.29) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 4.76 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 1.4 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 5.01 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 13.04 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 21.51 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 1.42 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.14 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 4.94 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.38 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (8.29 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (9.63 M) | 570.98 M |
| Total Debt | 1.3 M | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 6.87 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (7.96 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.45 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (31.31) X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 43 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.78 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 4.72 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 12.92 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (52.28 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 6.03 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 12.92 M |
DEFSEC Technologies Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as DEFSEC . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About DEFSEC Technologies Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell DEFSEC Technologies? Buying financial instruments such as DEFSEC Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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In addition to having DEFSEC Technologies in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out DEFSEC Technologies Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade DEFSEC Stock refer to our How to Trade DEFSEC Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Will Aerospace & Defense sector continue expanding? Could DEFSEC diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of DEFSEC Technologies. Projected growth potential of DEFSEC fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every DEFSEC Technologies data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (31.31) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 3.302 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Investors evaluate DEFSEC Technologies using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating DEFSEC Technologies' intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause DEFSEC Technologies' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between DEFSEC Technologies' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding DEFSEC Technologies should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, DEFSEC Technologies' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.