United Kingdom Small Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 26.11

DFUKX Fund  USD 25.89  0.37  1.45%   
United Kingdom's future price is the expected price of United Kingdom instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of United Kingdom Small performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out United Kingdom Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, United Kingdom Correlation, United Kingdom Hype Analysis, United Kingdom Volatility, United Kingdom History as well as United Kingdom Performance.
  
Please specify United Kingdom's target price for which you would like United Kingdom odds to be computed.

United Kingdom Target Price Odds to finish over 26.11

The tendency of United Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 26.11  or more in 90 days
 25.89 90 days 26.11 
about 36.12
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of United Kingdom to move over $ 26.11  or more in 90 days from now is about 36.12 (This United Kingdom Small probability density function shows the probability of United Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of United Kingdom Small price to stay between its current price of $ 25.89  and $ 26.11  at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.26 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon United Kingdom has a beta of 0.38 suggesting as returns on the market go up, United Kingdom average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding United Kingdom Small will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally United Kingdom Small has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   United Kingdom Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for United Kingdom

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as United Kingdom Small. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.8025.8926.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.6525.7426.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.4926.5727.66
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.9625.1726.38
Details

United Kingdom Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. United Kingdom is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the United Kingdom's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold United Kingdom Small, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of United Kingdom within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.38
σ
Overall volatility
0.76
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

United Kingdom Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of United Kingdom for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for United Kingdom Small can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
United Kingdom Small generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of 0.0%
United Kingdom Small retains 99.73% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

United Kingdom Technical Analysis

United Kingdom's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. United Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of United Kingdom Small. In general, you should focus on analyzing United Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

United Kingdom Predictive Forecast Models

United Kingdom's time-series forecasting models is one of many United Kingdom's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary United Kingdom's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about United Kingdom Small

Checking the ongoing alerts about United Kingdom for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for United Kingdom Small help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
United Kingdom Small generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of 0.0%
United Kingdom Small retains 99.73% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in United Mutual Fund

United Kingdom financial ratios help investors to determine whether United Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in United with respect to the benefits of owning United Kingdom security.
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