Delivery Hero (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 35.99

DHER Stock  EUR 31.00  0.55  1.74%   
Delivery Hero's future price is the expected price of Delivery Hero instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Delivery Hero SE performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Delivery Hero Backtesting, Delivery Hero Valuation, Delivery Hero Correlation, Delivery Hero Hype Analysis, Delivery Hero Volatility, Delivery Hero History as well as Delivery Hero Performance.
  
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Delivery Hero Target Price Odds to finish over 35.99

The tendency of Delivery Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 35.99  or more in 90 days
 31.00 90 days 35.99 
about 51.91
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Delivery Hero to move over € 35.99  or more in 90 days from now is about 51.91 (This Delivery Hero SE probability density function shows the probability of Delivery Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Delivery Hero SE price to stay between its current price of € 31.00  and € 35.99  at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.54 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Delivery Hero has a beta of 0.62 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Delivery Hero average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Delivery Hero SE will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Delivery Hero SE has an alpha of 0.3338, implying that it can generate a 0.33 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Delivery Hero Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Delivery Hero

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Delivery Hero SE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.9035.6739.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.9731.7439.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
29.8533.6237.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
31.6335.9240.20
Details

Delivery Hero Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Delivery Hero is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Delivery Hero's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Delivery Hero SE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Delivery Hero within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.33
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.62
σ
Overall volatility
3.96
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Delivery Hero Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Delivery Hero for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Delivery Hero SE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Delivery Hero SE had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Delivery Hero SE has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 5.86 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.1 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.26 B.
Delivery Hero SE has accumulated about 364.1 M in cash with (901.4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.94.
Roughly 31.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Delivery Hero Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Delivery Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Delivery Hero's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Delivery Hero's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding243.2 M

Delivery Hero Technical Analysis

Delivery Hero's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Delivery Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Delivery Hero SE. In general, you should focus on analyzing Delivery Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Delivery Hero Predictive Forecast Models

Delivery Hero's time-series forecasting models is one of many Delivery Hero's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Delivery Hero's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Delivery Hero SE

Checking the ongoing alerts about Delivery Hero for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Delivery Hero SE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Delivery Hero SE had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Delivery Hero SE has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 5.86 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.1 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.26 B.
Delivery Hero SE has accumulated about 364.1 M in cash with (901.4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.94.
Roughly 31.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Delivery Stock

Delivery Hero financial ratios help investors to determine whether Delivery Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Delivery with respect to the benefits of owning Delivery Hero security.