Divio Technologies (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.175

DIVIO-B Stock  SEK 0.15  0.01  7.14%   
Divio Technologies' future price is the expected price of Divio Technologies instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Divio Technologies AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Divio Technologies Backtesting, Divio Technologies Valuation, Divio Technologies Correlation, Divio Technologies Hype Analysis, Divio Technologies Volatility, Divio Technologies History as well as Divio Technologies Performance.
  
Please specify Divio Technologies' target price for which you would like Divio Technologies odds to be computed.

Divio Technologies Target Price Odds to finish over 0.175

The tendency of Divio Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over kr 0.18  or more in 90 days
 0.15 90 days 0.18 
about 42.11
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Divio Technologies to move over kr 0.18  or more in 90 days from now is about 42.11 (This Divio Technologies AB probability density function shows the probability of Divio Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Divio Technologies price to stay between its current price of kr 0.15  and kr 0.18  at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.38 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.55 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Divio Technologies will likely underperform. Moreover Divio Technologies AB has an alpha of 1.3348, implying that it can generate a 1.33 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Divio Technologies Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Divio Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Divio Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.1421.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.1321.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.1621.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.120.150.17
Details

Divio Technologies Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Divio Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Divio Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Divio Technologies AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Divio Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.33
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.55
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Divio Technologies Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Divio Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Divio Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Divio Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Divio Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Divio Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Divio Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has a current ratio of 0.48, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Divio Technologies until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Divio Technologies' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Divio Technologies sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Divio to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Divio Technologies' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Divio Technologies reported the revenue of 15.7 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.16 M.
Divio Technologies AB has accumulated about 1.09 M in cash with (7.23 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Divio Technologies Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Divio Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Divio Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Divio Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding63.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments9.3 M

Divio Technologies Technical Analysis

Divio Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Divio Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Divio Technologies AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Divio Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Divio Technologies Predictive Forecast Models

Divio Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Divio Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Divio Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Divio Technologies

Checking the ongoing alerts about Divio Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Divio Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Divio Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Divio Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Divio Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Divio Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has a current ratio of 0.48, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Divio Technologies until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Divio Technologies' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Divio Technologies sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Divio to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Divio Technologies' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Divio Technologies reported the revenue of 15.7 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.16 M.
Divio Technologies AB has accumulated about 1.09 M in cash with (7.23 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Divio Stock

Divio Technologies financial ratios help investors to determine whether Divio Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Divio with respect to the benefits of owning Divio Technologies security.