Derwent London (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 21.37
| DLN Stock | EUR 27.32 0.30 1.11% |
Derwent |
Derwent London Target Price Odds to finish below 21.37
The tendency of Derwent Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 21.37 or more in 90 days |
| 27.32 | 90 days | 21.37 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Derwent London to drop to € 21.37 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Derwent London PLC probability density function shows the probability of Derwent Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Derwent London PLC price to stay between € 21.37 and its current price of €27.32 at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.31 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Derwent London PLC has a beta of -0.21 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Derwent London are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Derwent London PLC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Derwent London PLC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Derwent London Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Derwent London
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Derwent London PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Derwent London Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Derwent London is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Derwent London's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Derwent London PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Derwent London within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.002 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.90 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Derwent London Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Derwent London for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Derwent London PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Derwent London PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Derwent London Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Derwent Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Derwent London's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Derwent London's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 150 M |
Derwent London Technical Analysis
Derwent London's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Derwent Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Derwent London PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Derwent Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Derwent London Predictive Forecast Models
Derwent London's time-series forecasting models is one of many Derwent London's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Derwent London's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Derwent London PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about Derwent London for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Derwent London PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Derwent London PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Derwent Stock
Derwent London financial ratios help investors to determine whether Derwent Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Derwent with respect to the benefits of owning Derwent London security.