Aptus Defined Risk Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 27.45
| DRSK Etf | USD 27.72 0.07 0.25% |
Aptus |
Aptus Defined Target Price Odds to finish over 27.45
The tendency of Aptus Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 27.45 in 90 days |
| 27.72 | 90 days | 27.45 | about 99.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aptus Defined to stay above $ 27.45 in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Aptus Defined Risk probability density function shows the probability of Aptus Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aptus Defined Risk price to stay between $ 27.45 and its current price of $27.72 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.05 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Aptus Defined has a beta of 0.27 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Aptus Defined average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aptus Defined Risk will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aptus Defined Risk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Aptus Defined Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aptus Defined
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aptus Defined Risk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aptus Defined's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Aptus Defined Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aptus Defined is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aptus Defined's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aptus Defined Risk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aptus Defined within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.35 |
Aptus Defined Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aptus Defined for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aptus Defined Risk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aptus Defined Risk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Aptus Capital Advisors Expands Active, Options-Based ETF Lineup with the Launch of the Aptus Large Cap Upside ETF | |
| The fund retains about 11.92% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities |
Aptus Defined Technical Analysis
Aptus Defined's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aptus Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aptus Defined Risk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aptus Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aptus Defined Predictive Forecast Models
Aptus Defined's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aptus Defined's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aptus Defined's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aptus Defined Risk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aptus Defined for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aptus Defined Risk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aptus Defined Risk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Aptus Capital Advisors Expands Active, Options-Based ETF Lineup with the Launch of the Aptus Large Cap Upside ETF | |
| The fund retains about 11.92% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities |
Check out Aptus Defined Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Aptus Defined Correlation, Aptus Defined Hype Analysis, Aptus Defined Volatility, Aptus Defined History as well as Aptus Defined Performance. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
The market value of Aptus Defined Risk is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aptus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aptus Defined's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aptus Defined's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aptus Defined's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aptus Defined's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aptus Defined's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aptus Defined is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aptus Defined's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.