Desenio Group (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.42

DSNO Stock  SEK 0.22  0.01  4.35%   
Desenio Group's future price is the expected price of Desenio Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Desenio Group AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Desenio Group Backtesting, Desenio Group Valuation, Desenio Group Correlation, Desenio Group Hype Analysis, Desenio Group Volatility, Desenio Group History as well as Desenio Group Performance.
  
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Desenio Group Target Price Odds to finish below 0.42

The tendency of Desenio Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under kr 0.42  after 90 days
 0.22 90 days 0.42 
roughly 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Desenio Group to stay under kr 0.42  after 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Desenio Group AB probability density function shows the probability of Desenio Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Desenio Group AB price to stay between its current price of kr 0.22  and kr 0.42  at the end of the 90-day period is more than 93.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.4 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Desenio Group will likely underperform. Additionally Desenio Group AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Desenio Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Desenio Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Desenio Group AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.2210.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.2110.76
Details

Desenio Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Desenio Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Desenio Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Desenio Group AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Desenio Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.66
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.40
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Desenio Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Desenio Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Desenio Group AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Desenio Group AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Desenio Group AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Desenio Group AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Desenio Group AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 38.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Desenio Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Desenio Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Desenio Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Desenio Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding107.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments162.2 M

Desenio Group Technical Analysis

Desenio Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Desenio Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Desenio Group AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Desenio Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Desenio Group Predictive Forecast Models

Desenio Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Desenio Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Desenio Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Desenio Group AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Desenio Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Desenio Group AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Desenio Group AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Desenio Group AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Desenio Group AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Desenio Group AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 38.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Desenio Stock Analysis

When running Desenio Group's price analysis, check to measure Desenio Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Desenio Group is operating at the current time. Most of Desenio Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Desenio Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Desenio Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Desenio Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.