Lyxor 10Y (France) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 101.01
| DSUS Etf | EUR 106.58 1.61 1.53% |
Lyxor |
Lyxor 10Y Target Price Odds to finish below 101.01
The tendency of Lyxor Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 101.01 or more in 90 days |
| 106.58 | 90 days | 101.01 | about 57.5 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lyxor 10Y to drop to € 101.01 or more in 90 days from now is about 57.5 (This Lyxor 10Y Treasury probability density function shows the probability of Lyxor Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lyxor 10Y Treasury price to stay between € 101.01 and its current price of €106.58 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.56 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lyxor 10Y Treasury has a beta of -0.14 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Lyxor 10Y are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Lyxor 10Y Treasury is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Lyxor 10Y Treasury has an alpha of 0.2455, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Lyxor 10Y Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lyxor 10Y
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lyxor 10Y Treasury. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lyxor 10Y Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lyxor 10Y is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lyxor 10Y's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lyxor 10Y Treasury, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lyxor 10Y within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Lyxor 10Y Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lyxor 10Y for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lyxor 10Y Treasury can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund generated five year return of -3.0% | |
| Lyxor 10Y Treasury retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments |
Lyxor 10Y Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lyxor Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lyxor 10Y's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lyxor 10Y's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day | 4.01k | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 780 |
Lyxor 10Y Technical Analysis
Lyxor 10Y's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lyxor Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lyxor 10Y Treasury. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lyxor Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lyxor 10Y Predictive Forecast Models
Lyxor 10Y's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lyxor 10Y's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lyxor 10Y's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lyxor 10Y Treasury
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lyxor 10Y for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lyxor 10Y Treasury help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund generated five year return of -3.0% | |
| Lyxor 10Y Treasury retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments |
Other Information on Investing in Lyxor Etf
Lyxor 10Y financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lyxor Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lyxor with respect to the benefits of owning Lyxor 10Y security.