Thanh Dat (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 22,849

DTD Stock   25,600  200.00  0.79%   
Thanh Dat's future price is the expected price of Thanh Dat instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Thanh Dat Investment performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Thanh Dat Backtesting, Thanh Dat Valuation, Thanh Dat Correlation, Thanh Dat Hype Analysis, Thanh Dat Volatility, Thanh Dat History as well as Thanh Dat Performance.
  
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Thanh Dat Target Price Odds to finish below 22,849

The tendency of Thanh Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 25,600 90 days 25,600 
about 54.99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Thanh Dat to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 54.99 (This Thanh Dat Investment probability density function shows the probability of Thanh Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Thanh Dat has a beta of 0.0438 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Thanh Dat average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Thanh Dat Investment will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Thanh Dat Investment has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Thanh Dat Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Thanh Dat

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thanh Dat Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25,59825,60025,602
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22,84922,85128,160
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23,98023,98223,984
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25,34525,53325,722
Details

Thanh Dat Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Thanh Dat is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Thanh Dat's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Thanh Dat Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Thanh Dat within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
907.83
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Thanh Dat Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Thanh Dat for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Thanh Dat Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Thanh Dat Investment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Thanh Dat Technical Analysis

Thanh Dat's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Thanh Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Thanh Dat Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Thanh Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Thanh Dat Predictive Forecast Models

Thanh Dat's time-series forecasting models is one of many Thanh Dat's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Thanh Dat's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Thanh Dat Investment

Checking the ongoing alerts about Thanh Dat for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Thanh Dat Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Thanh Dat Investment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Thanh Stock

Thanh Dat financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thanh Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thanh with respect to the benefits of owning Thanh Dat security.