Ecora Resources Plc Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 13.45

ECRAF Stock  USD 0.85  0.01  1.16%   
Ecora Resources' future price is the expected price of Ecora Resources instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ecora Resources PLC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ecora Resources Backtesting, Ecora Resources Valuation, Ecora Resources Correlation, Ecora Resources Hype Analysis, Ecora Resources Volatility, Ecora Resources History as well as Ecora Resources Performance.
  
Please specify Ecora Resources' target price for which you would like Ecora Resources odds to be computed.

Ecora Resources Target Price Odds to finish over 13.45

The tendency of Ecora OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 13.45  or more in 90 days
 0.85 90 days 13.45 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ecora Resources to move over $ 13.45  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Ecora Resources PLC probability density function shows the probability of Ecora OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ecora Resources PLC price to stay between its current price of $ 0.85  and $ 13.45  at the end of the 90-day period is about 58.07 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ecora Resources has a beta of 0.0153 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Ecora Resources average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ecora Resources PLC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ecora Resources PLC has an alpha of 0.0892, implying that it can generate a 0.0892 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ecora Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ecora Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ecora Resources PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.855.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.724.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.855.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.800.840.88
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ecora Resources. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ecora Resources' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ecora Resources' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ecora Resources PLC.

Ecora Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ecora Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ecora Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ecora Resources PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ecora Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.0057

Ecora Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ecora Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ecora Resources PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ecora Resources PLC has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Ecora Resources PLC had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Ecora Resources Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ecora OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ecora Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ecora Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding213.8 M

Ecora Resources Technical Analysis

Ecora Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ecora OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ecora Resources PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ecora OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ecora Resources Predictive Forecast Models

Ecora Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Ecora Resources' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ecora Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ecora Resources PLC

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ecora Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ecora Resources PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ecora Resources PLC has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Ecora Resources PLC had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Ecora OTC Stock

Ecora Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ecora OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ecora with respect to the benefits of owning Ecora Resources security.