Skillful Craftsman Education Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.01
| EDTK Stock | USD 1.04 0.07 7.22% |
Skillful |
Skillful Craftsman Target Price Odds to finish below 1.01
The tendency of Skillful Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 1.01 or more in 90 days |
| 1.04 | 90 days | 1.01 | about 30.75 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Skillful Craftsman to drop to $ 1.01 or more in 90 days from now is about 30.75 (This Skillful Craftsman Education probability density function shows the probability of Skillful Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Skillful Craftsman price to stay between $ 1.01 and its current price of $1.04 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.06 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Skillful Craftsman Education has a beta of -0.38 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Skillful Craftsman are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Skillful Craftsman Education is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Skillful Craftsman Education has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Skillful Craftsman Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Skillful Craftsman
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Skillful Craftsman. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Skillful Craftsman's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Skillful Craftsman Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Skillful Craftsman is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Skillful Craftsman's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Skillful Craftsman Education, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Skillful Craftsman within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Skillful Craftsman Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Skillful Craftsman for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Skillful Craftsman can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Skillful Craftsman generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Skillful Craftsman has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Skillful Craftsman has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Skillful Craftsman has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.72 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (2.18 M). | |
| Skillful Craftsman Education currently holds about 23.83 M in cash with (2.66 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.6, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Skillful Craftsman Education Technology Stock Price Down 2.7 percent Whats Next |
Skillful Craftsman Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Skillful Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Skillful Craftsman's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Skillful Craftsman's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 17.8 M |
Skillful Craftsman Technical Analysis
Skillful Craftsman's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Skillful Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Skillful Craftsman Education. In general, you should focus on analyzing Skillful Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Skillful Craftsman Predictive Forecast Models
Skillful Craftsman's time-series forecasting models is one of many Skillful Craftsman's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Skillful Craftsman's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Skillful Craftsman
Checking the ongoing alerts about Skillful Craftsman for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Skillful Craftsman help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Skillful Craftsman generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Skillful Craftsman has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Skillful Craftsman has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Skillful Craftsman has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.72 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (2.18 M). | |
| Skillful Craftsman Education currently holds about 23.83 M in cash with (2.66 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.6, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Skillful Craftsman Education Technology Stock Price Down 2.7 percent Whats Next |
Check out Skillful Craftsman Backtesting, Skillful Craftsman Valuation, Skillful Craftsman Correlation, Skillful Craftsman Hype Analysis, Skillful Craftsman Volatility, Skillful Craftsman History as well as Skillful Craftsman Performance. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Skillful Craftsman. If investors know Skillful will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Skillful Craftsman listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.23) | Earnings Share (0.31) | Revenue Per Share 0.129 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.88) | Return On Assets (0.03) |
The market value of Skillful Craftsman is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Skillful that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Skillful Craftsman's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Skillful Craftsman's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Skillful Craftsman's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Skillful Craftsman's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Skillful Craftsman's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Skillful Craftsman is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Skillful Craftsman's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.