Energy Focu Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.27
| EFOI Stock | USD 1.28 0.03 2.40% |
Energy |
Energy Focu Target Price Odds to finish below 1.27
The tendency of Energy Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 1.27 or more in 90 days |
| 1.28 | 90 days | 1.27 | about 30.7 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Energy Focu to drop to $ 1.27 or more in 90 days from now is about 30.7 (This Energy Focu probability density function shows the probability of Energy Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Energy Focu price to stay between $ 1.27 and its current price of $1.28 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Energy Focu has a beta of -0.16 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Energy Focu are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Energy Focu is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Energy Focu has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Energy Focu Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Energy Focu
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Energy Focu. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Energy Focu Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Energy Focu is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Energy Focu's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Energy Focu, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Energy Focu within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Energy Focu Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Energy Focu for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Energy Focu can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Energy Focu generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Energy Focu has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Energy Focu may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Energy Focu has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 5.72 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.7 M. | |
| Energy Focu currently holds about 1.44 M in cash with (2.44 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.16. | |
| Energy Focu has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Energy Focus Third Quarter 2024 Earnings US0.06 loss per share |
Energy Focu Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Energy Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Energy Focu's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Energy Focu's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.8 M |
Energy Focu Technical Analysis
Energy Focu's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Energy Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Energy Focu. In general, you should focus on analyzing Energy Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Energy Focu Predictive Forecast Models
Energy Focu's time-series forecasting models is one of many Energy Focu's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Energy Focu's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Energy Focu
Checking the ongoing alerts about Energy Focu for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Energy Focu help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Energy Focu generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Energy Focu has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Energy Focu may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Energy Focu has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 5.72 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.7 M. | |
| Energy Focu currently holds about 1.44 M in cash with (2.44 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.16. | |
| Energy Focu has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Energy Focus Third Quarter 2024 Earnings US0.06 loss per share |
Check out Energy Focu Backtesting, Energy Focu Valuation, Energy Focu Correlation, Energy Focu Hype Analysis, Energy Focu Volatility, Energy Focu History as well as Energy Focu Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Energy Stock please use our How to Invest in Energy Focu guide.You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Is Electrical Components & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Energy Focu. If investors know Energy will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Energy Focu listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.39) | Revenue Per Share 1.431 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.472 | Return On Assets (0.21) | Return On Equity (0.84) |
The market value of Energy Focu is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Energy that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Energy Focu's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Energy Focu's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Energy Focu's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Energy Focu's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Energy Focu's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Energy Focu is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Energy Focu's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.