Energy Focu Stock Volatility

EFOI Stock  USD 3.93  0.09  2.34%   
Energy Focu's realized and implied volatility are covered along with the standard risk metrics derived from them. Its long-term beta is 2.15, meaning it tends to be significantly more volatile than the overall market. The stock shows very high price volatility over the last 3 months.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.103

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Latest disclosures for Energy Focu show a Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.4%, a Risk of 26.95, and a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1%. Moving average data positions the stock near 8% of its recent return envelope.
Key indicators related to Energy Focu's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
90 Days Economic Sensitivity

Key risk metrics for Energy Focu (3 Months):

 Beta
6.83
 Alpha
2.7
 Risk
26.95
 Sharpe Ratio
0.1
 Expected Return
2.78

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Sensitivity To Market

Beta analysis for Energy Focu evaluates how its price movements correlate with the broader market. With a beta of 6.83, Energy Focu reflects measurable exposure to systematic risk. Observed total volatility stands near 26.95%. Asymmetric risk in Energy Focu is visible through downside-focused metrics. Downside deviation reads 6.24% and semi-deviation reads 4.59%, isolating the loss-side component of total return variability. Volatility is commonly higher for smaller or less liquid equities due to wider spreads and thinner order books. For Energy Focu, measured downside deviation describes the intensity of negative return periods.
Current 90-day Energy Focu correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)
α2.70   β6.83
3 Months Beta |Energy Focu Demand Trend
Current 90-day Energy Focu correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Downside Risk

The standard deviation reading for Energy Focu summarizes how concentrated or dispersed daily returns have been around their mean. Volatile instruments have higher standard deviations; stable ones have lower. When Energy Focu standard deviation rises relative to its historical range, it signals a regime change in price behavior. Annualizing the daily figure scales Energy Focu standard deviation to a time horizon more commonly used in risk budgeting.
Standard Deviation
    
  26.95  
Standard deviation and downside deviation are complementary tools for assessing Energy Focu's risk. Downside deviation or semi-deviation of Energy Focu's returns isolates the loss-side component of total variability. For Energy Focu, understanding the difference between standard deviation and downside deviation is analytically important. Semi-deviation of Energy Focu's returns captures only losses, providing a more focused risk measure. Latest disclosures for Energy Focu show a Downside Deviation of 6.24, a Downside Variance of 38.93, and a Maximum Drawdown of 227.25.

Stock Volatility Analysis

In evaluating Energy Focu as an investment, volatility is a primary indicator of risk. High volatility generally means the stock price moves dramatically in a short period of time. Lower risk tolerance generally corresponds to preference for stocks exhibiting lower volatility. Volatility metrics inform stop-loss placement and exposure calibration for Energy Focu.
Transformation
This analysis covers sixty-one data points across the selected time horizon. The Average Price transformation calculates the mean of Energy Focu's open, high, low, and close for each trading period. By incorporating all four price components equally, it provides a balanced representation of each period's trading activity. Compared to using the closing price alone, the average price reduces the influence of end-of-day positioning and can serve as a smoother input for other technical indicators.

Projected Return Density Against Market

Given a 90-day horizon, Energy Focu has a beta of 6.8277 suggesting when the benchmark rises, EFOI tends to outperform it on average. However, when benchmark returns turn negative, Energy Focu tends to underperform.
Energy Focu volatility reflects broader stock market cycles alongside company or sector-specific developments. Diversified portfolios reduce specific exposure but not systemic risk. Latest disclosures for Energy Focu show a Downside Deviation of 6.24, a Mean Deviation of 7.92, and a Semi Deviation of 4.59.
Energy Focu has an alpha of 2.6994, implying that it can generate a 2.6994 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Distribution   
       Density  
Energy Focu's volatility is typically evaluated with standard deviation and beta. Standard deviation reflects how far Energy Focu's returns usually move from the mean over the selected horizon.

What Drives Energy Focu's Price Volatility?

Industry Dynamics

Peer results and sector re-ratings in the Electrical Equipment sector often influence how investors price Energy Focu's risk.

Political and Economic Environment

Macro data and central-bank signals can change valuation assumptions and short-term positioning around Energy Focu.

Energy Focu's Company-Specific Factors

Company-specific events such as product updates, strategic actions, or execution issues can trigger volatility clusters.

Stock Risk Measures

Given a 90-day horizon, the coefficient of variation of Energy Focu is 970.48. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 726.32 and standard deviation of 26.95. The mean deviation of Energy Focu is currently at 8.07. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.92
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
2.70
β
Beta against Dow Jones6.83
σ
Overall volatility
26.95
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Stock Return Volatility

Daily return volatility for Energy Focu measures how far stock returns deviate from their average on a day-to-day basis. The firm shows 26.9502% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. For comparison, Dow Jones Industrial reported 0.9237% volatility on return distribution over a 90-day investment horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

Related Correlations Analysis


Correlation Matchups

Over a given time period, the two securities move together when the Correlation Coefficient is positive. Conversely, the two assets move in opposite directions when the Correlation Coefficient is negative. Determining your positions' relationship to each other is valuable for analyzing and projecting your portfolio's future expected return and risk.

High positive correlations

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FGIGTIM
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High negative correlations

LVLUGTIM
HWHGTIM
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LVLUFGI
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Risk-Adjusted Indicators

Evaluating Energy Focu Stock requires separating price momentum from underlying operating strength versus competitors. Peer-relative risk metrics add context on drawdown behavior, consistency, and return quality. These indicators are quantitative in nature and measure volatility and risk-adjusted expected returns across different positions.

Risk Metrics, Assumptions & Methodology

Standard deviation for Energy Focu measures how widely returns scatter around their average over a given period. Return scatter increases when new information or regime shifts widen the distribution of outcomes. Energy Focu has a market cap of 24.77 million, ROE of -29.24%.

Energy Focu data is compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Volatility and downside metrics are estimated from historical return dispersion.

Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Michael Smolkin, Member of Macroaxis Board of Directors

Volatility Profile Summary

Recent data suggests that Energy Focu is more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial by approximately 29.29x over the selected horizon. This differential reflects the relative dispersion of returns and frames how the asset responds to broader market conditions. Observed price behavior indicates modest directional movement within the current volatility regime. Across the current 90-day horizon, that places the security below 96% of the broader equity and portfolio universe on a pure volatility basis. This positioning reflects relative dispersion compared to peers rather than extreme instability.

Energy Focu with characteristics aligned to broad market upside participation. This price-change note interprets the latest move in the context of short-horizon trading behavior. It highlights whether the move looks ordinary, stressed, or unusually speculative for the instrument. an unexpected upward trend with elevated sensitivity to market signals. Return distributions derived from historical modeling outline a range of potential outcomes over the selected 90-day horizon. View Energy Focu probability analysis.

Moderate diversification
The correlation between Energy Focu and Dow Jones is 0.39, which Macroaxis classifies as Moderate diversification for the selected horizon. The overlap area shows the portion of risk diversified away by holding both instruments together.

Additional Risk Indicators

Secondary risk indicators for Energy Focu evaluate exposure beyond standard deviation, beta, or one headline volatility measure. This is most informative when assessing whether the current opportunity is being compensated with reasonable risk.

Energy Focu Suggested Diversification Pairs

A pair-trading setup around Energy Focu shifts the return benchmark from the broad market to a second position, altering the risk profile. Pair trading is less about prediction in isolation and more about identifying relative mispricing between related positions.
Pair diversification lowers aggregate risk, though certain risk categories remain unaffected regardless of how positions are paired. Systematic risk - the risk tied to the broad market - cannot be eliminated by pairing Energy Focu with another position. However, Energy Focu's company-specific risk can be partially offset by selecting a pair that does not move in lockstep with Energy Focu.

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