FBD Holdings (Ireland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.25
| EG7 Stock | EUR 12.50 0.25 2.04% |
FBD |
FBD Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 12.25
The tendency of FBD Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 12.25 in 90 days |
| 12.50 | 90 days | 12.25 | about 81.76 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FBD Holdings to stay above € 12.25 in 90 days from now is about 81.76 (This FBD Holdings PLC probability density function shows the probability of FBD Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FBD Holdings PLC price to stay between € 12.25 and its current price of €12.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.78 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon FBD Holdings PLC has a beta of -0.16 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding FBD Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, FBD Holdings PLC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally FBD Holdings PLC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. FBD Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for FBD Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FBD Holdings PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FBD Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FBD Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FBD Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FBD Holdings PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FBD Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
FBD Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FBD Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FBD Holdings PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FBD Holdings PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| FBD Holdings PLC has accumulated 49.6 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.14, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. FBD Holdings PLC has a current ratio of 0.49, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist FBD Holdings until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, FBD Holdings' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like FBD Holdings PLC sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for FBD to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about FBD Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 41.0% of FBD Holdings shares are held by company insiders |
FBD Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FBD Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FBD Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FBD Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
FBD Holdings Technical Analysis
FBD Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FBD Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FBD Holdings PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing FBD Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FBD Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
FBD Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many FBD Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FBD Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about FBD Holdings PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about FBD Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FBD Holdings PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| FBD Holdings PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| FBD Holdings PLC has accumulated 49.6 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.14, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. FBD Holdings PLC has a current ratio of 0.49, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist FBD Holdings until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, FBD Holdings' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like FBD Holdings PLC sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for FBD to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about FBD Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 41.0% of FBD Holdings shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for FBD Stock Analysis
When running FBD Holdings' price analysis, check to measure FBD Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FBD Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of FBD Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FBD Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FBD Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FBD Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.