Elevation Oncology Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14.09
| ELEV Stock | USD 0.60 0.01 1.64% |
Elevation |
Elevation Oncology Target Price Odds to finish over 14.09
The tendency of Elevation Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 14.09 or more in 90 days |
| 0.60 | 90 days | 14.09 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Elevation Oncology to move over $ 14.09 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Elevation Oncology probability density function shows the probability of Elevation Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Elevation Oncology price to stay between its current price of $ 0.60 and $ 14.09 at the end of the 90-day period is about 55.35 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.05 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Elevation Oncology will likely underperform. Additionally Elevation Oncology has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Elevation Oncology Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Elevation Oncology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Elevation Oncology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Elevation Oncology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Elevation Oncology Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Elevation Oncology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Elevation Oncology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Elevation Oncology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Elevation Oncology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.59 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Elevation Oncology Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Elevation Oncology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Elevation Oncology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Elevation Oncology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Elevation Oncology has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Elevation Oncology has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Elevation Oncology has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (45.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Elevation Oncology currently holds about 122.54 M in cash with (56.18 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.26, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Elevation Oncology has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 78.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Biotechnology Value Fund L Ps Strategic Acquisition in Elevation Oncology Inc |
Elevation Oncology Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Elevation Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Elevation Oncology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Elevation Oncology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 34.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 83.1 M |
Elevation Oncology Technical Analysis
Elevation Oncology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Elevation Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Elevation Oncology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Elevation Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Elevation Oncology Predictive Forecast Models
Elevation Oncology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Elevation Oncology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Elevation Oncology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Elevation Oncology
Checking the ongoing alerts about Elevation Oncology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Elevation Oncology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Elevation Oncology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Elevation Oncology has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Elevation Oncology has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Elevation Oncology has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (45.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Elevation Oncology currently holds about 122.54 M in cash with (56.18 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.26, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Elevation Oncology has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 78.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Biotechnology Value Fund L Ps Strategic Acquisition in Elevation Oncology Inc |
Additional Tools for Elevation Stock Analysis
When running Elevation Oncology's price analysis, check to measure Elevation Oncology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Elevation Oncology is operating at the current time. Most of Elevation Oncology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Elevation Oncology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Elevation Oncology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Elevation Oncology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.