Emx Royalty Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.02

EMX Stock  USD 1.75  0.01  0.57%   
EMX Royalty's future price is the expected price of EMX Royalty instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of EMX Royalty Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out EMX Royalty Backtesting, EMX Royalty Valuation, EMX Royalty Correlation, EMX Royalty Hype Analysis, EMX Royalty Volatility, EMX Royalty History as well as EMX Royalty Performance.
  
Please specify EMX Royalty's target price for which you would like EMX Royalty odds to be computed.

EMX Royalty Target Price Odds to finish below 0.02

The tendency of EMX Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.02  or more in 90 days
 1.75 90 days 0.02 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of EMX Royalty to drop to $ 0.02  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This EMX Royalty Corp probability density function shows the probability of EMX Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of EMX Royalty Corp price to stay between $ 0.02  and its current price of $1.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.32 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon EMX Royalty has a beta of 0.17 suggesting as returns on the market go up, EMX Royalty average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding EMX Royalty Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally EMX Royalty Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   EMX Royalty Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for EMX Royalty

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EMX Royalty Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.754.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.242.504.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.041.784.04
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
4.314.745.26
Details

EMX Royalty Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. EMX Royalty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the EMX Royalty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold EMX Royalty Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of EMX Royalty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.17
σ
Overall volatility
0.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

EMX Royalty Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of EMX Royalty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for EMX Royalty Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
EMX Royalty Corp may become a speculative penny stock
The company reported the last year's revenue of 20.29 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (6.25 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 9.34 M.
EMX Royalty Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from investing.com: EMX Royalty stock target increased, keeps buy on growth prospects

EMX Royalty Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of EMX Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential EMX Royalty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. EMX Royalty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding111.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments26.7 M

EMX Royalty Technical Analysis

EMX Royalty's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. EMX Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of EMX Royalty Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing EMX Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

EMX Royalty Predictive Forecast Models

EMX Royalty's time-series forecasting models is one of many EMX Royalty's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary EMX Royalty's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about EMX Royalty Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about EMX Royalty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for EMX Royalty Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
EMX Royalty Corp may become a speculative penny stock
The company reported the last year's revenue of 20.29 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (6.25 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 9.34 M.
EMX Royalty Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from investing.com: EMX Royalty stock target increased, keeps buy on growth prospects

Additional Tools for EMX Stock Analysis

When running EMX Royalty's price analysis, check to measure EMX Royalty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy EMX Royalty is operating at the current time. Most of EMX Royalty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of EMX Royalty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move EMX Royalty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of EMX Royalty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.