ENEFI Energiahatekonys (Hungary) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 226.07
| ENEFI Stock | 238.00 8.00 3.48% |
ENEFI |
ENEFI Energiahatekonys Target Price Odds to finish below 226.07
The tendency of ENEFI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 226.07 or more in 90 days |
| 238.00 | 90 days | 226.07 | about 75.97 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ENEFI Energiahatekonys to drop to 226.07 or more in 90 days from now is about 75.97 (This ENEFI Energiahatekonysagi Nyrt probability density function shows the probability of ENEFI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ENEFI Energiahatekonys price to stay between 226.07 and its current price of 238.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.46 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ENEFI Energiahatekonys has a beta of 0.0412 suggesting as returns on the market go up, ENEFI Energiahatekonys average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ENEFI Energiahatekonysagi Nyrt will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ENEFI Energiahatekonysagi Nyrt has an alpha of 0.0647, implying that it can generate a 0.0647 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). ENEFI Energiahatekonys Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ENEFI Energiahatekonys
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ENEFI Energiahatekonys. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ENEFI Energiahatekonys Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ENEFI Energiahatekonys is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ENEFI Energiahatekonys' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ENEFI Energiahatekonysagi Nyrt, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ENEFI Energiahatekonys within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 11.98 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
ENEFI Energiahatekonys Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ENEFI Energiahatekonys for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ENEFI Energiahatekonys can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the revenue of 1.09 B. Net Loss for the year was (530.77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 592.86 M. | |
| About 90.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
ENEFI Energiahatekonys Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ENEFI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ENEFI Energiahatekonys' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ENEFI Energiahatekonys' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.2 M |
ENEFI Energiahatekonys Technical Analysis
ENEFI Energiahatekonys' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ENEFI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ENEFI Energiahatekonysagi Nyrt. In general, you should focus on analyzing ENEFI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ENEFI Energiahatekonys Predictive Forecast Models
ENEFI Energiahatekonys' time-series forecasting models is one of many ENEFI Energiahatekonys' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ENEFI Energiahatekonys' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ENEFI Energiahatekonys
Checking the ongoing alerts about ENEFI Energiahatekonys for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ENEFI Energiahatekonys help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the revenue of 1.09 B. Net Loss for the year was (530.77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 592.86 M. | |
| About 90.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in ENEFI Stock
ENEFI Energiahatekonys financial ratios help investors to determine whether ENEFI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ENEFI with respect to the benefits of owning ENEFI Energiahatekonys security.