Electro Optic Systems Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.8

EOPSF Stock  USD 0.80  0.00  0.00%   
Electro Optic's future price is the expected price of Electro Optic instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Electro Optic Systems performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Electro Optic Backtesting, Electro Optic Valuation, Electro Optic Correlation, Electro Optic Hype Analysis, Electro Optic Volatility, Electro Optic History as well as Electro Optic Performance.
  
Please specify Electro Optic's target price for which you would like Electro Optic odds to be computed.

Electro Optic Target Price Odds to finish over 0.8

The tendency of Electro Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.80 90 days 0.80 
more than 94.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Electro Optic to move above the current price in 90 days from now is more than 94.0 (This Electro Optic Systems probability density function shows the probability of Electro Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Electro Optic has a beta of 0.26 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Electro Optic average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Electro Optic Systems will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Electro Optic Systems has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Electro Optic Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Electro Optic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Electro Optic Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Electro Optic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.805.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.765.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.815.58
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.740.840.94
Details

Electro Optic Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Electro Optic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Electro Optic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Electro Optic Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Electro Optic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.48
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.26
σ
Overall volatility
0.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Electro Optic Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Electro Optic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Electro Optic Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Electro Optic generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Electro Optic has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Electro Optic has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 211.79 M. Net Loss for the year was (13 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 100.77 M.
About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Electro Optic Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Electro Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Electro Optic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Electro Optic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding150.9 M

Electro Optic Technical Analysis

Electro Optic's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Electro Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Electro Optic Systems. In general, you should focus on analyzing Electro Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Electro Optic Predictive Forecast Models

Electro Optic's time-series forecasting models is one of many Electro Optic's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Electro Optic's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Electro Optic Systems

Checking the ongoing alerts about Electro Optic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Electro Optic Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Electro Optic generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Electro Optic has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Electro Optic has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 211.79 M. Net Loss for the year was (13 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 100.77 M.
About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Electro Pink Sheet

Electro Optic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Electro Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Electro with respect to the benefits of owning Electro Optic security.