Enerpac Tool Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 42.14
| EPAC Stock | USD 44.16 0.71 1.58% |
Enerpac |
Enerpac Tool Target Price Odds to finish below 42.14
The tendency of Enerpac Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 42.14 or more in 90 days |
| 44.16 | 90 days | 42.14 | about 11.24 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Enerpac Tool to drop to $ 42.14 or more in 90 days from now is about 11.24 (This Enerpac Tool Group probability density function shows the probability of Enerpac Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Enerpac Tool Group price to stay between $ 42.14 and its current price of $44.16 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.92 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.34 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Enerpac Tool will likely underperform. Additionally Enerpac Tool Group has an alpha of 0.0545, implying that it can generate a 0.0545 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Enerpac Tool Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Enerpac Tool
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Enerpac Tool Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Enerpac Tool Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Enerpac Tool is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Enerpac Tool's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Enerpac Tool Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Enerpac Tool within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.92 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Enerpac Tool Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Enerpac Tool for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Enerpac Tool Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Enerpac Fiscal Q1 Earnings Snapshot |
Enerpac Tool Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Enerpac Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Enerpac Tool's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Enerpac Tool's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 54.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 167.1 M |
Enerpac Tool Technical Analysis
Enerpac Tool's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Enerpac Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Enerpac Tool Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Enerpac Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Enerpac Tool Predictive Forecast Models
Enerpac Tool's time-series forecasting models is one of many Enerpac Tool's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Enerpac Tool's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Enerpac Tool Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Enerpac Tool for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Enerpac Tool Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Enerpac Fiscal Q1 Earnings Snapshot |
Check out Enerpac Tool Backtesting, Enerpac Tool Valuation, Enerpac Tool Correlation, Enerpac Tool Hype Analysis, Enerpac Tool Volatility, Enerpac Tool History as well as Enerpac Tool Performance. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Enerpac Tool. If investors know Enerpac will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Enerpac Tool listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.126 | Earnings Share 1.57 | Revenue Per Share 10.849 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets 0.1114 |
The market value of Enerpac Tool Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Enerpac that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Enerpac Tool's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Enerpac Tool's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Enerpac Tool's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Enerpac Tool's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Enerpac Tool's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Enerpac Tool is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Enerpac Tool's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.