Enerpac Tool Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression

EPAC Stock  USD 40.20  0.80  2.03%   
Enerpac Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Enerpac Tool stock prices and determine the direction of Enerpac Tool Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Enerpac Tool's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The value of RSI of Enerpac Tool's share price is at 50 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Enerpac Tool, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 50

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Enerpac Tool's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Enerpac Tool Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Enerpac Tool hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Enerpac Tool Group from the perspective of Enerpac Tool response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Enerpac Tool Group on the next trading day is expected to be 40.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.10.

Enerpac Tool after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 40.2  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Enerpac Tool to cross-verify your projections.

Enerpac Tool Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Enerpac price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Enerpac using various technical indicators. When you analyze Enerpac charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Enerpac Tool polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Enerpac Tool Group as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Enerpac Tool Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Enerpac Tool Group on the next trading day is expected to be 40.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64, mean absolute percentage error of 0.73, and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.10.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Enerpac Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Enerpac Tool's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Enerpac Tool Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Enerpac Tool  Enerpac Tool Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Enerpac Tool Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Enerpac Tool's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Enerpac Tool's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 37.91 and 42.13, respectively. We have considered Enerpac Tool's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
40.20
40.02
Expected Value
42.13
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Enerpac Tool stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Enerpac Tool stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.7978
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.641
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0164
SAESum of the absolute errors39.1
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Enerpac Tool historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Enerpac Tool

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Enerpac Tool Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
38.0940.2042.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.4539.5641.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
38.6740.2041.73
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Enerpac Tool. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Enerpac Tool's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Enerpac Tool's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Enerpac Tool Group.

Enerpac Tool After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Enerpac Tool at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Enerpac Tool or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Enerpac Tool, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Enerpac Tool Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Enerpac Tool's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Enerpac Tool's historical news coverage. Enerpac Tool's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 38.09 and 42.31, respectively. We have considered Enerpac Tool's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
40.20
40.20
After-hype Price
42.31
Upside
Enerpac Tool is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Enerpac Tool Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Enerpac Tool Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Enerpac Tool is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Enerpac Tool backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Enerpac Tool, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.01 
2.11
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
40.20
40.20
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Enerpac Tool Hype Timeline

Enerpac Tool Group is currently traded for 40.20. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Enerpac is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Enerpac Tool is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 40.20. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Enerpac Tool was currently reported as 8.17. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.34. Enerpac Tool Group last dividend was issued on the 7th of October 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 9th of November 2007. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Enerpac Tool to cross-verify your projections.

Enerpac Tool Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Enerpac Tool's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Enerpac Tool's future price movements. Getting to know how Enerpac Tool's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Enerpac Tool may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PSIXPower Solutions International 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.03) 7.03 (6.33) 24.47 
HIHillenbrand 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.24) 0.22 (0.19) 0.89 
ALGAlamo Group 0.00 0 per month 1.35  0.05  2.47 (2.08) 8.89 
XMTRXometry 0.00 0 per month 3.62  0.08  5.19 (7.00) 38.74 
TRNTrinity Industries 0.00 0 per month 1.41  0.03  2.93 (2.66) 13.36 
HLIOHelios Technologies 0.00 0 per month 1.61  0.12  3.90 (3.06) 9.43 
HUBGHub Group 0.00 0 per month 0.93  0.24  4.24 (1.90) 6.55 
ATKRAtkore International Group 0.00 0 per month 2.83  0  3.57 (2.99) 15.11 
REVGRev Group 0.00 0 per month 1.25  0.20  3.47 (2.44) 8.65 
DXPEDXP Enterprises 0.00 0 per month 4.73  0.04  4.42 (3.76) 18.99 

Other Forecasting Options for Enerpac Tool

For every potential investor in Enerpac, whether a beginner or expert, Enerpac Tool's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Enerpac Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Enerpac. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Enerpac Tool's price trends.

Enerpac Tool Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Enerpac Tool stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Enerpac Tool could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Enerpac Tool by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Enerpac Tool Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Enerpac Tool stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Enerpac Tool shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Enerpac Tool stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Enerpac Tool Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Enerpac Tool Risk Indicators

The analysis of Enerpac Tool's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Enerpac Tool's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting enerpac stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Enerpac Tool

The number of cover stories for Enerpac Tool depends on current market conditions and Enerpac Tool's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Enerpac Tool is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Enerpac Tool's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Enerpac Tool Short Properties

Enerpac Tool's future price predictability will typically decrease when Enerpac Tool's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Enerpac Tool Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Enerpac Tool's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Enerpac Tool's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding54.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments151.6 M
When determining whether Enerpac Tool Group offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Enerpac Tool's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Enerpac Tool Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Enerpac Tool Group Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Enerpac Tool to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Will Stock sector continue expanding? Could Enerpac diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Enerpac Tool. Projected growth potential of Enerpac fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Enerpac Tool data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
The market value of Enerpac Tool Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Enerpac that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Enerpac Tool's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Enerpac Tool's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Enerpac Tool's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Enerpac Tool's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Enerpac Tool's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Enerpac Tool should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Enerpac Tool's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.