IndexIQ ETF Trust Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 23.81

EQULDelisted Etf  USD 27.12  0.01  0.04%   
IndexIQ ETF's future price is the expected price of IndexIQ ETF instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of IndexIQ ETF Trust performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out IndexIQ ETF Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, IndexIQ ETF Correlation, IndexIQ ETF Hype Analysis, IndexIQ ETF Volatility, IndexIQ ETF History as well as IndexIQ ETF Performance.
For more information on how to buy IndexIQ Etf please use our How to buy in IndexIQ Etf guide.
  
Please specify IndexIQ ETF's target price for which you would like IndexIQ ETF odds to be computed.

IndexIQ ETF Target Price Odds to finish below 23.81

The tendency of IndexIQ Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 23.81  or more in 90 days
 27.12 90 days 23.81 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IndexIQ ETF to drop to $ 23.81  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This IndexIQ ETF Trust probability density function shows the probability of IndexIQ Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of IndexIQ ETF Trust price to stay between $ 23.81  and its current price of $27.12 at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.7 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days IndexIQ ETF Trust has a beta of -0.1 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding IndexIQ ETF are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, IndexIQ ETF Trust is likely to outperform the market. Additionally IndexIQ ETF Trust has an alpha of 0.0809, implying that it can generate a 0.0809 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   IndexIQ ETF Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for IndexIQ ETF

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IndexIQ ETF Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of IndexIQ ETF's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.3727.1227.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.2925.0429.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.4927.2427.99
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.7127.4528.18
Details

IndexIQ ETF Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IndexIQ ETF is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IndexIQ ETF's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold IndexIQ ETF Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IndexIQ ETF within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.1
σ
Overall volatility
0.55
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

IndexIQ ETF Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IndexIQ ETF for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for IndexIQ ETF Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
IndexIQ ETF Trust has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Latest headline from news.google.com: Where are the Opportunities in - Stock Traders Daily
The fund retains 99.89% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

IndexIQ ETF Technical Analysis

IndexIQ ETF's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IndexIQ Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of IndexIQ ETF Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing IndexIQ Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

IndexIQ ETF Predictive Forecast Models

IndexIQ ETF's time-series forecasting models is one of many IndexIQ ETF's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary IndexIQ ETF's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about IndexIQ ETF Trust

Checking the ongoing alerts about IndexIQ ETF for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for IndexIQ ETF Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
IndexIQ ETF Trust has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Latest headline from news.google.com: Where are the Opportunities in - Stock Traders Daily
The fund retains 99.89% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Check out IndexIQ ETF Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, IndexIQ ETF Correlation, IndexIQ ETF Hype Analysis, IndexIQ ETF Volatility, IndexIQ ETF History as well as IndexIQ ETF Performance.
For more information on how to buy IndexIQ Etf please use our How to buy in IndexIQ Etf guide.
You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.

Other Consideration for investing in IndexIQ Etf

If you are still planning to invest in IndexIQ ETF Trust check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the IndexIQ ETF's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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