Euro Kapital (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.76

EUKYO Stock  TRY 12.56  0.31  2.41%   
Euro Kapital's future price is the expected price of Euro Kapital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Euro Kapital Yatirim performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Euro Kapital Backtesting, Euro Kapital Valuation, Euro Kapital Correlation, Euro Kapital Hype Analysis, Euro Kapital Volatility, Euro Kapital History as well as Euro Kapital Performance.
  
Please specify Euro Kapital's target price for which you would like Euro Kapital odds to be computed.

Euro Kapital Target Price Odds to finish below 0.76

The tendency of Euro Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  0.76  or more in 90 days
 12.56 90 days 0.76 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Euro Kapital to drop to  0.76  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Euro Kapital Yatirim probability density function shows the probability of Euro Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Euro Kapital Yatirim price to stay between  0.76  and its current price of 12.56 at the end of the 90-day period is about 39.63 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Euro Kapital Yatirim has a beta of -0.16 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Euro Kapital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Euro Kapital Yatirim is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Euro Kapital Yatirim has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Euro Kapital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Euro Kapital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Euro Kapital Yatirim. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.2112.8716.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.2710.9314.59
Details

Euro Kapital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Euro Kapital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Euro Kapital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Euro Kapital Yatirim, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Euro Kapital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.16
σ
Overall volatility
0.88
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Euro Kapital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Euro Kapital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Euro Kapital Yatirim can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Euro Kapital Yatirim generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Euro Kapital Yatirim has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Euro Kapital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Euro Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Euro Kapital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Euro Kapital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding20 M

Euro Kapital Technical Analysis

Euro Kapital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Euro Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Euro Kapital Yatirim. In general, you should focus on analyzing Euro Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Euro Kapital Predictive Forecast Models

Euro Kapital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Euro Kapital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Euro Kapital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Euro Kapital Yatirim

Checking the ongoing alerts about Euro Kapital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Euro Kapital Yatirim help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Euro Kapital Yatirim generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Euro Kapital Yatirim has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Other Information on Investing in Euro Stock

Euro Kapital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Euro Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Euro with respect to the benefits of owning Euro Kapital security.