Everquote Class A Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 19.4
| EVER Stock | USD 19.36 0.51 2.71% |
EverQuote |
EverQuote Target Price Odds to finish below 19.4
The tendency of EverQuote Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 19.40 after 90 days |
| 19.36 | 90 days | 19.40 | about 29.28 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of EverQuote to stay under $ 19.40 after 90 days from now is about 29.28 (This EverQuote Class A probability density function shows the probability of EverQuote Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of EverQuote Class A price to stay between its current price of $ 19.36 and $ 19.40 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.63 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, EverQuote will likely underperform. Additionally EverQuote Class A has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. EverQuote Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for EverQuote
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EverQuote Class A. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of EverQuote's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
EverQuote Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. EverQuote is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the EverQuote's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold EverQuote Class A, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of EverQuote within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.4 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.63 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.81 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
EverQuote Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of EverQuote for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for EverQuote Class A can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| EverQuote Class A generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| EverQuote Class A has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 287.92 M. Net Loss for the year was (51.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 380.15 M. | |
| EverQuote Class A currently holds about 41.27 M in cash with (2.83 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.3. | |
| Over 81.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: EverQuote, Inc. General Counsel Sells 13,238.60 in Stock |
EverQuote Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of EverQuote Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential EverQuote's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. EverQuote's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 33.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 38 M |
EverQuote Technical Analysis
EverQuote's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. EverQuote Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of EverQuote Class A. In general, you should focus on analyzing EverQuote Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
EverQuote Predictive Forecast Models
EverQuote's time-series forecasting models is one of many EverQuote's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary EverQuote's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about EverQuote Class A
Checking the ongoing alerts about EverQuote for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for EverQuote Class A help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| EverQuote Class A generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| EverQuote Class A has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 287.92 M. Net Loss for the year was (51.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 380.15 M. | |
| EverQuote Class A currently holds about 41.27 M in cash with (2.83 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.3. | |
| Over 81.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: EverQuote, Inc. General Counsel Sells 13,238.60 in Stock |
Additional Tools for EverQuote Stock Analysis
When running EverQuote's price analysis, check to measure EverQuote's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy EverQuote is operating at the current time. Most of EverQuote's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of EverQuote's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move EverQuote's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of EverQuote to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.