Exscientia Ltd ADR Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.31
| EXAIDelisted Stock | USD 4.84 0.00 0.00% |
Exscientia |
Exscientia Target Price Odds to finish below 4.31
The tendency of Exscientia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 4.31 or more in 90 days |
| 4.84 | 90 days | 4.31 | about 1.21 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Exscientia to drop to $ 4.31 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.21 (This Exscientia Ltd ADR probability density function shows the probability of Exscientia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Exscientia ADR price to stay between $ 4.31 and its current price of $4.84 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.61 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Exscientia has a beta of 0.29 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Exscientia average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Exscientia Ltd ADR will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Exscientia Ltd ADR has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Exscientia Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Exscientia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Exscientia ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Exscientia Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Exscientia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Exscientia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Exscientia Ltd ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Exscientia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Exscientia Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Exscientia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Exscientia ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Exscientia ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Exscientia ADR has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Exscientia ADR has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 20.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (145.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10.25 M. | |
| Exscientia Ltd ADR currently holds about 601.89 M in cash with (117.6 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.91, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Exscientia Stock Price Down 5.3 percent Heres Why |
Exscientia Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Exscientia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Exscientia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Exscientia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 124.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 363 M |
Exscientia Technical Analysis
Exscientia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Exscientia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Exscientia Ltd ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Exscientia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Exscientia Predictive Forecast Models
Exscientia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Exscientia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Exscientia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Exscientia ADR
Checking the ongoing alerts about Exscientia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Exscientia ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Exscientia ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Exscientia ADR has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Exscientia ADR has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 20.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (145.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10.25 M. | |
| Exscientia Ltd ADR currently holds about 601.89 M in cash with (117.6 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.91, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Exscientia Stock Price Down 5.3 percent Heres Why |
Check out Exscientia Backtesting, Exscientia Valuation, Exscientia Correlation, Exscientia Hype Analysis, Exscientia Volatility, Exscientia History as well as Exscientia Performance. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Other Consideration for investing in Exscientia Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Exscientia ADR check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Exscientia's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
| Equity Valuation Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data | |
| Portfolio Suggestion Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios | |
| Money Flow Index Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators | |
| Portfolio Backtesting Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios | |
| USA ETFs Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA |