Exceed World Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.66
| EXDW Stock | USD 1.20 0.40 50.00% |
Exceed |
Exceed World Target Price Odds to finish below 0.66
The tendency of Exceed Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.66 or more in 90 days |
| 1.20 | 90 days | 0.66 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Exceed World to drop to $ 0.66 or more in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Exceed World probability density function shows the probability of Exceed Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Exceed World price to stay between $ 0.66 and its current price of $1.2 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 2.34 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Exceed World will likely underperform. In addition to that Exceed World has an alpha of 2.7324, implying that it can generate a 2.73 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Exceed World Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Exceed World
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Exceed World. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Exceed World's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Exceed World Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Exceed World is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Exceed World's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Exceed World, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Exceed World within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 2.73 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
Exceed World Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Exceed World for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Exceed World can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Exceed World is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Exceed World may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Exceed World appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 93.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Exceed World Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Exceed Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Exceed World's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Exceed World's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 23.8 M |
Exceed World Technical Analysis
Exceed World's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Exceed Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Exceed World. In general, you should focus on analyzing Exceed Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Exceed World Predictive Forecast Models
Exceed World's time-series forecasting models is one of many Exceed World's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Exceed World's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Exceed World
Checking the ongoing alerts about Exceed World for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Exceed World help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Exceed World is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Exceed World may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Exceed World appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 93.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Exceed Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Exceed World's price analysis, check to measure Exceed World's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Exceed World is operating at the current time. Most of Exceed World's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Exceed World's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Exceed World's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Exceed World to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.