Exelixis Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17.04
| EXEL Stock | USD 35.58 0.75 2.15% |
Exelixis |
Exelixis Target Price Odds to finish below 17.04
The tendency of Exelixis Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 17.04 or more in 90 days |
| 35.58 | 90 days | 17.04 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Exelixis to drop to $ 17.04 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Exelixis probability density function shows the probability of Exelixis Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Exelixis price to stay between $ 17.04 and its current price of $35.58 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 96.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Exelixis has a beta of 0.47 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Exelixis average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Exelixis will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Exelixis has an alpha of 0.3936, implying that it can generate a 0.39 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Exelixis Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Exelixis
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Exelixis. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Exelixis' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Exelixis Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Exelixis is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Exelixis' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Exelixis, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Exelixis within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.39 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.73 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Exelixis Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Exelixis for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Exelixis can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Exelixis has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Merck Stock Trades Near 52-Week Low Whats Next for Investors |
Exelixis Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Exelixis Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Exelixis' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Exelixis' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 321.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 995.3 M |
Exelixis Technical Analysis
Exelixis' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Exelixis Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Exelixis. In general, you should focus on analyzing Exelixis Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Exelixis Predictive Forecast Models
Exelixis' time-series forecasting models is one of many Exelixis' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Exelixis' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Exelixis
Checking the ongoing alerts about Exelixis for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Exelixis help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Exelixis has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Merck Stock Trades Near 52-Week Low Whats Next for Investors |
Check out Exelixis Backtesting, Exelixis Valuation, Exelixis Correlation, Exelixis Hype Analysis, Exelixis Volatility, Exelixis History as well as Exelixis Performance. For more information on how to buy Exelixis Stock please use our How to buy in Exelixis Stock guide.You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Exelixis. If investors know Exelixis will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Exelixis listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 121.699 | Earnings Share 1.55 | Revenue Per Share 7.032 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.143 | Return On Assets 0.1281 |
The market value of Exelixis is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Exelixis that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Exelixis' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Exelixis' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Exelixis' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Exelixis' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Exelixis' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Exelixis is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Exelixis' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.