K2 Alternative Strategies Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 11.19

FABZX Fund  USD 12.19  0.06  0.49%   
K2 Alternative's future price is the expected price of K2 Alternative instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of K2 Alternative Strategies performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out K2 Alternative Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, K2 Alternative Correlation, K2 Alternative Hype Analysis, K2 Alternative Volatility, K2 Alternative History as well as K2 Alternative Performance.
  
Please specify K2 Alternative's target price for which you would like K2 Alternative odds to be computed.

K2 Alternative Target Price Odds to finish below 11.19

The tendency of FABZX Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 11.19  or more in 90 days
 12.19 90 days 11.19 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of K2 Alternative to drop to $ 11.19  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This K2 Alternative Strategies probability density function shows the probability of FABZX Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of K2 Alternative Strategies price to stay between $ 11.19  and its current price of $12.19 at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon K2 Alternative has a beta of 0.13. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, K2 Alternative average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding K2 Alternative Strategies will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally K2 Alternative Strategies has an alpha of 0.0255, implying that it can generate a 0.0255 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   K2 Alternative Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for K2 Alternative

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as K2 Alternative Strategies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.0112.1912.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.9911.1713.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.0112.1912.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.0512.1012.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as K2 Alternative. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against K2 Alternative's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, K2 Alternative's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in K2 Alternative Strategies.

K2 Alternative Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. K2 Alternative is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the K2 Alternative's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold K2 Alternative Strategies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of K2 Alternative within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.12
Ir
Information ratio -0.39

K2 Alternative Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of K2 Alternative for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for K2 Alternative Strategies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 38.58% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

K2 Alternative Technical Analysis

K2 Alternative's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FABZX Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of K2 Alternative Strategies. In general, you should focus on analyzing FABZX Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

K2 Alternative Predictive Forecast Models

K2 Alternative's time-series forecasting models is one of many K2 Alternative's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary K2 Alternative's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about K2 Alternative Strategies

Checking the ongoing alerts about K2 Alternative for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for K2 Alternative Strategies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 38.58% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in FABZX Mutual Fund

K2 Alternative financial ratios help investors to determine whether FABZX Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FABZX with respect to the benefits of owning K2 Alternative security.
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
Portfolio Manager
State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Portfolio Diagnostics
Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings