Fair Oaks (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.03

FAIR Stock   0.54  0.01  1.89%   
Fair Oaks' future price is the expected price of Fair Oaks instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fair Oaks Income performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fair Oaks Backtesting, Fair Oaks Valuation, Fair Oaks Correlation, Fair Oaks Hype Analysis, Fair Oaks Volatility, Fair Oaks History as well as Fair Oaks Performance.
  
Please specify Fair Oaks' target price for which you would like Fair Oaks odds to be computed.

Fair Oaks Target Price Odds to finish below 0.03

The tendency of Fair Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  0.03  or more in 90 days
 0.54 90 days 0.03 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fair Oaks to drop to  0.03  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Fair Oaks Income probability density function shows the probability of Fair Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fair Oaks Income price to stay between  0.03  and its current price of 0.54 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fair Oaks has a beta of 0.0679. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fair Oaks average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fair Oaks Income will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fair Oaks Income has an alpha of 0.0147, implying that it can generate a 0.0147 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Fair Oaks Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fair Oaks

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fair Oaks Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.541.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.501.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.541.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.520.530.55
Details

Fair Oaks Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fair Oaks is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fair Oaks' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fair Oaks Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fair Oaks within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Fair Oaks Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fair Oaks for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fair Oaks Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fair Oaks Income has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock

Fair Oaks Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fair Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fair Oaks' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fair Oaks' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding445.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments25.2 M

Fair Oaks Technical Analysis

Fair Oaks' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fair Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fair Oaks Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fair Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fair Oaks Predictive Forecast Models

Fair Oaks' time-series forecasting models is one of many Fair Oaks' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fair Oaks' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fair Oaks Income

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fair Oaks for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fair Oaks Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fair Oaks Income has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock

Additional Tools for Fair Stock Analysis

When running Fair Oaks' price analysis, check to measure Fair Oaks' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fair Oaks is operating at the current time. Most of Fair Oaks' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fair Oaks' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fair Oaks' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fair Oaks to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.