Falcon Metals Limited Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.0186
| FALFF Stock | USD 0.07 0.07 3,025% |
Falcon |
Falcon Metals Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0186
The tendency of Falcon Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.02 or more in 90 days |
| 0.07 | 90 days | 0.02 | about 9.81 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Falcon Metals to drop to $ 0.02 or more in 90 days from now is about 9.81 (This Falcon Metals Limited probability density function shows the probability of Falcon Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Falcon Metals Limited price to stay between $ 0.02 and its current price of $0.075 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.21 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 68.18 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Falcon Metals will likely underperform. In addition to that Falcon Metals Limited has an alpha of 36.228, implying that it can generate a 36.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Falcon Metals Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Falcon Metals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Falcon Metals Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Falcon Metals Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Falcon Metals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Falcon Metals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Falcon Metals Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Falcon Metals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 36.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 68.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Falcon Metals Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Falcon Metals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Falcon Metals Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Falcon Metals is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Falcon Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Falcon Metals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Net Loss for the year was (63.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Falcon Metals Limited has accumulated about 25.02 M in cash with (3.68 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.14, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Falcon Metals Technical Analysis
Falcon Metals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Falcon Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Falcon Metals Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Falcon Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Falcon Metals Predictive Forecast Models
Falcon Metals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Falcon Metals' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Falcon Metals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Falcon Metals Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about Falcon Metals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Falcon Metals Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Falcon Metals is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Falcon Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Falcon Metals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Net Loss for the year was (63.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Falcon Metals Limited has accumulated about 25.02 M in cash with (3.68 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.14, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Falcon Pink Sheet
Falcon Metals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Falcon Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Falcon with respect to the benefits of owning Falcon Metals security.