Fat Brands Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 12.64
| FATBP Preferred Stock | USD 10.11 0.33 3.37% |
FAT |
FAT Brands Target Price Odds to finish below 12.64
The tendency of FAT Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 12.64 after 90 days |
| 10.11 | 90 days | 12.64 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FAT Brands to stay under $ 12.64 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This FAT Brands probability density function shows the probability of FAT Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FAT Brands price to stay between its current price of $ 10.11 and $ 12.64 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon FAT Brands has a beta of 0.24. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, FAT Brands average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FAT Brands will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally FAT Brands has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. FAT Brands Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for FAT Brands
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FAT Brands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FAT Brands Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FAT Brands is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FAT Brands' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FAT Brands, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FAT Brands within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
FAT Brands Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FAT Brands for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FAT Brands can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FAT Brands has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| FAT Brands has accumulated 904.26 M in total debt. FAT Brands has a current ratio of 0.4, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist FAT Brands until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, FAT Brands' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like FAT Brands sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for FAT to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about FAT Brands' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 118.88 M. Net Loss for the year was (31.58 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 56.67 M. |
FAT Brands Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FAT Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FAT Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FAT Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 56.7 M |
FAT Brands Technical Analysis
FAT Brands' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FAT Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FAT Brands. In general, you should focus on analyzing FAT Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FAT Brands Predictive Forecast Models
FAT Brands' time-series forecasting models is one of many FAT Brands' preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FAT Brands' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about FAT Brands
Checking the ongoing alerts about FAT Brands for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FAT Brands help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| FAT Brands has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| FAT Brands has accumulated 904.26 M in total debt. FAT Brands has a current ratio of 0.4, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist FAT Brands until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, FAT Brands' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like FAT Brands sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for FAT to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about FAT Brands' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 118.88 M. Net Loss for the year was (31.58 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 56.67 M. |
Additional Tools for FAT Preferred Stock Analysis
When running FAT Brands' price analysis, check to measure FAT Brands' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FAT Brands is operating at the current time. Most of FAT Brands' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FAT Brands' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FAT Brands' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FAT Brands to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.