FAT Brands Preferred Stock Forward View

FATBP Preferred Stock  USD 0.49  0.01  2.00%   
FAT Preferred Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, the value of RSI of FAT Brands' share price is approaching 31. This usually indicates that the preferred stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling FAT Brands, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 31

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of FAT Brands' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with FAT Brands, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using FAT Brands hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FAT Brands from the perspective of FAT Brands response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of FAT Brands on the next trading day is expected to be 0.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.88.

FAT Brands after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.49  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as preferred stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FAT Brands to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in FAT Preferred Stock, please use our How to Invest in FAT Brands guide.

FAT Brands Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine FAT price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FAT using various technical indicators. When you analyze FAT charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for FAT Brands is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of FAT Brands value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

FAT Brands Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of FAT Brands on the next trading day is expected to be 0.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.88.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FAT Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FAT Brands' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

FAT Brands Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest FAT Brands  FAT Brands Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

FAT Brands Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting FAT Brands' Preferred Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. FAT Brands' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 10.42, respectively. We have considered FAT Brands' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.49
0.40
Expected Value
10.42
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FAT Brands preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FAT Brands preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.657
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1593
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1666
SAESum of the absolute errors9.8754
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of FAT Brands. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict FAT Brands. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for FAT Brands

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FAT Brands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.4910.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.4710.42
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as FAT Brands. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against FAT Brands' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, FAT Brands' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in FAT Brands.

FAT Brands After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of FAT Brands at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FAT Brands or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Preferred Stock prices, such as prices of FAT Brands, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

FAT Brands Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting FAT Brands' preferred stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FAT Brands' historical news coverage. FAT Brands' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 10.44, respectively. We have considered FAT Brands' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.49
0.49
After-hype Price
10.44
Upside
FAT Brands is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FAT Brands is based on 3 months time horizon.

FAT Brands Preferred Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as FAT Brands is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FAT Brands backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Preferred Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FAT Brands, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  2.01 
10.02
 0.00  
  0.09 
0 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.49
0.49
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

FAT Brands Hype Timeline

FAT Brands is currently traded for 0.49. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.09. FAT is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -2.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on FAT Brands is about 23302.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.58. The company recorded a loss per share of 3.36. FAT Brands last dividend was issued on the 9th of February 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FAT Brands to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in FAT Preferred Stock, please use our How to Invest in FAT Brands guide.

FAT Brands Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to FAT Brands' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FAT Brands' future price movements. Getting to know how FAT Brands' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FAT Brands may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
NDLSNoodles Company 0.05 8 per month 0.00 (0.01) 11.11 (8.45) 27.57 
RAVERave Restaurant Group 0.05 24 per month 2.73  0.10  4.63 (3.69) 23.89 
LESLLeslies 0.05 12 per month 0.00 (0.23) 9.06 (10.32) 42.31 
TBHCThe Brand House(0.02)6 per month 0.00 (0.11) 5.79 (5.07) 14.73 
ARKRArk Restaurants Corp 0.18 8 per month 0.00 (0.05) 2.99 (3.35) 12.34 
NTZNatuzzi SpA(0.13)10 per month 0.00 (0.01) 10.37 (7.42) 25.04 
WPRTWestport Fuel Systems 0.09 7 per month 2.54  0  6.33 (4.94) 18.19 
ISPOInspirato 0.04 6 per month 1.20  0.11  6.32 (3.14) 47.07 
MKDWMKDWELL Tech Ordinary 0.09 19 per month 0.00 (0.18) 7.64 (8.90) 36.75 
LITBLightInTheBox Holding Co 0.03 6 per month 0.00 (0.01) 10.87 (9.47) 28.17 

Other Forecasting Options for FAT Brands

For every potential investor in FAT, whether a beginner or expert, FAT Brands' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FAT Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FAT. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying FAT Brands' price trends.

FAT Brands Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with FAT Brands preferred stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of FAT Brands could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FAT Brands by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

FAT Brands Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how FAT Brands preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading FAT Brands shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying FAT Brands preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify FAT Brands entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

FAT Brands Risk Indicators

The analysis of FAT Brands' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FAT Brands' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fat preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for FAT Brands

The number of cover stories for FAT Brands depends on current market conditions and FAT Brands' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that FAT Brands is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about FAT Brands' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

FAT Brands Short Properties

FAT Brands' future price predictability will typically decrease when FAT Brands' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of FAT Brands often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential FAT Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FAT Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding16.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments56.7 M

Additional Tools for FAT Preferred Stock Analysis

When running FAT Brands' price analysis, check to measure FAT Brands' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FAT Brands is operating at the current time. Most of FAT Brands' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FAT Brands' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FAT Brands' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FAT Brands to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.