FC Investment (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1111.59

FCIT Stock   1,122  14.00  1.26%   
FC Investment's future price is the expected price of FC Investment instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FC Investment Trust performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out FC Investment Backtesting, FC Investment Valuation, FC Investment Correlation, FC Investment Hype Analysis, FC Investment Volatility, FC Investment History as well as FC Investment Performance.
  
Please specify FC Investment's target price for which you would like FC Investment odds to be computed.

FC Investment Target Price Odds to finish over 1111.59

The tendency of FCIT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  1,112  in 90 days
 1,122 90 days 1,112 
roughly 2.92
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FC Investment to stay above  1,112  in 90 days from now is roughly 2.92 (This FC Investment Trust probability density function shows the probability of FCIT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FC Investment Trust price to stay between  1,112  and its current price of 1122.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.53 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon FC Investment has a beta of 0.52. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, FC Investment average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FC Investment Trust will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally FC Investment Trust has an alpha of 0.0529, implying that it can generate a 0.0529 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   FC Investment Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FC Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FC Investment Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,0101,1241,125
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,0101,3351,336
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,1111,1121,112
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,1041,1171,131
Details

FC Investment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FC Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FC Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FC Investment Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FC Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.52
σ
Overall volatility
34.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.0063

FC Investment Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FC Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FC Investment Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
On 1st of November 2024 FC Investment paid 0.036 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: FC Investment Trust Hits New 12-Month High - Still a Buy - MarketBeat

FC Investment Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FCIT Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FC Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FC Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding515.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments166.5 M

FC Investment Technical Analysis

FC Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FCIT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FC Investment Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing FCIT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

FC Investment Predictive Forecast Models

FC Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many FC Investment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FC Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about FC Investment Trust

Checking the ongoing alerts about FC Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FC Investment Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
On 1st of November 2024 FC Investment paid 0.036 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: FC Investment Trust Hits New 12-Month High - Still a Buy - MarketBeat

Additional Tools for FCIT Stock Analysis

When running FC Investment's price analysis, check to measure FC Investment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FC Investment is operating at the current time. Most of FC Investment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FC Investment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FC Investment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FC Investment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.