Fti Consulting Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 178.36
| FCN Stock | USD 204.10 2.24 1.11% |
FTI |
FTI Consulting Target Price Odds to finish below 178.36
The tendency of FTI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 178.36 or more in 90 days |
| 204.10 | 90 days | 178.36 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FTI Consulting to drop to $ 178.36 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This FTI Consulting probability density function shows the probability of FTI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FTI Consulting price to stay between $ 178.36 and its current price of $204.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.9 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon FTI Consulting has a beta of 0.74. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, FTI Consulting average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FTI Consulting will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally FTI Consulting has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. FTI Consulting Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for FTI Consulting
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FTI Consulting. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FTI Consulting's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
FTI Consulting Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FTI Consulting is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FTI Consulting's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FTI Consulting, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FTI Consulting within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.74 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 12.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
FTI Consulting Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FTI Consulting for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FTI Consulting can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FTI Consulting generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| FTI Consulting has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from bnnbloomberg.ca: The Container Store Retains Advisers for Operational Help |
FTI Consulting Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FTI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FTI Consulting's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FTI Consulting's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 328.7 M |
FTI Consulting Technical Analysis
FTI Consulting's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FTI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FTI Consulting. In general, you should focus on analyzing FTI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FTI Consulting Predictive Forecast Models
FTI Consulting's time-series forecasting models is one of many FTI Consulting's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FTI Consulting's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about FTI Consulting
Checking the ongoing alerts about FTI Consulting for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FTI Consulting help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| FTI Consulting generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| FTI Consulting has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from bnnbloomberg.ca: The Container Store Retains Advisers for Operational Help |
Check out FTI Consulting Backtesting, FTI Consulting Valuation, FTI Consulting Correlation, FTI Consulting Hype Analysis, FTI Consulting Volatility, FTI Consulting History as well as FTI Consulting Performance. To learn how to invest in FTI Stock, please use our How to Invest in FTI Consulting guide.You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Is Research & Consulting Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FTI Consulting. If investors know FTI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FTI Consulting listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.21) | Earnings Share 8.7 | Revenue Per Share 106.211 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.037 | Return On Assets 0.0756 |
The market value of FTI Consulting is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FTI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FTI Consulting's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FTI Consulting's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FTI Consulting's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FTI Consulting's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FTI Consulting's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FTI Consulting is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FTI Consulting's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.