Aberdeen Global If Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.96
| FCO Stock | USD 6.03 0.11 1.86% |
Aberdeen |
Aberdeen Global Target Price Odds to finish below 5.96
The tendency of Aberdeen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 5.96 or more in 90 days |
| 6.03 | 90 days | 5.96 | about 72.21 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aberdeen Global to drop to $ 5.96 or more in 90 days from now is about 72.21 (This Aberdeen Global IF probability density function shows the probability of Aberdeen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aberdeen Global IF price to stay between $ 5.96 and its current price of $6.03 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.12 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Aberdeen Global IF has a beta of -0.0735. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Aberdeen Global are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Aberdeen Global IF is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Aberdeen Global IF has an alpha of 0.0857, implying that it can generate a 0.0857 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Aberdeen Global Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aberdeen Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aberdeen Global IF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aberdeen Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Aberdeen Global Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aberdeen Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aberdeen Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aberdeen Global IF, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aberdeen Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Aberdeen Global Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aberdeen Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aberdeen Global IF can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aberdeen Global IF has about 397.88 K in cash with (3.3 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04. | |
| On 31st of October 2024 Aberdeen Global paid $ 0.07 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: abrdn Global Income Fund declares 0.07 dividend |
Aberdeen Global Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aberdeen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aberdeen Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aberdeen Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 479.6 K |
Aberdeen Global Technical Analysis
Aberdeen Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aberdeen Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aberdeen Global IF. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aberdeen Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aberdeen Global Predictive Forecast Models
Aberdeen Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aberdeen Global's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aberdeen Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aberdeen Global IF
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aberdeen Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aberdeen Global IF help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aberdeen Global IF has about 397.88 K in cash with (3.3 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04. | |
| On 31st of October 2024 Aberdeen Global paid $ 0.07 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: abrdn Global Income Fund declares 0.07 dividend |
Check out Aberdeen Global Backtesting, Aberdeen Global Valuation, Aberdeen Global Correlation, Aberdeen Global Hype Analysis, Aberdeen Global Volatility, Aberdeen Global History as well as Aberdeen Global Performance. You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aberdeen Global. If investors know Aberdeen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aberdeen Global listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.135 | Dividend Share 0.84 | Earnings Share 0.42 | Revenue Per Share 0.391 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.212 |
The market value of Aberdeen Global IF is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aberdeen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aberdeen Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aberdeen Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aberdeen Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aberdeen Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aberdeen Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aberdeen Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aberdeen Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.