Focus Universal Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.5
| FCUV Stock | USD 0.25 0.01 3.85% |
Focus |
Focus Universal Target Price Odds to finish below 1.5
The tendency of Focus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 1.50 after 90 days |
| 0.25 | 90 days | 1.50 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Focus Universal to stay under $ 1.50 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Focus Universal probability density function shows the probability of Focus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Focus Universal price to stay between its current price of $ 0.25 and $ 1.50 at the end of the 90-day period is about 62.81 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.1 . This usually indicates Focus Universal market returns are correlated to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Focus Universal is expected to follow. Additionally Focus Universal has an alpha of 0.7528, implying that it can generate a 0.75 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Focus Universal Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Focus Universal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Focus Universal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Focus Universal's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Focus Universal Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Focus Universal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Focus Universal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Focus Universal, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Focus Universal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.75 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.10 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Focus Universal Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Focus Universal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Focus Universal can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Focus Universal is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Focus Universal has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Focus Universal appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.05 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.72 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 298.13 K. | |
| Focus Universal currently holds about 6.82 M in cash with (3.53 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.16. | |
| Focus Universal has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 47.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: MKS Instruments Stock Surges 5 percent Amid Strong Financial Per - GuruFocus.com |
Focus Universal Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Focus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Focus Universal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Focus Universal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 60.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 465 K |
Focus Universal Technical Analysis
Focus Universal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Focus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Focus Universal. In general, you should focus on analyzing Focus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Focus Universal Predictive Forecast Models
Focus Universal's time-series forecasting models is one of many Focus Universal's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Focus Universal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Focus Universal
Checking the ongoing alerts about Focus Universal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Focus Universal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Focus Universal is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Focus Universal has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Focus Universal appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.05 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.72 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 298.13 K. | |
| Focus Universal currently holds about 6.82 M in cash with (3.53 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.16. | |
| Focus Universal has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 47.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: MKS Instruments Stock Surges 5 percent Amid Strong Financial Per - GuruFocus.com |
Additional Tools for Focus Stock Analysis
When running Focus Universal's price analysis, check to measure Focus Universal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Focus Universal is operating at the current time. Most of Focus Universal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Focus Universal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Focus Universal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Focus Universal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.