4dmedical Limited Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 2.35

FDMDF Stock  USD 2.35  0.09  3.69%   
4DMedical's future price is the expected price of 4DMedical instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of 4DMedical Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 4DMedical Analysis, 4DMedical Valuation, 4DMedical Correlation, 4DMedical Hype Analysis, 4DMedical Volatility, 4DMedical Price History as well as 4DMedical Performance.
  
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4DMedical Target Price Odds to finish over 2.35

The tendency of 4DMedical Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.35 90 days 2.35 
about 22.48
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 4DMedical to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 22.48 (This 4DMedical Limited probability density function shows the probability of 4DMedical Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 2.18 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, 4DMedical will likely underperform. Moreover 4DMedical Limited has an alpha of 1.4033, implying that it can generate a 1.4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   4DMedical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 4DMedical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 4DMedical Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of 4DMedical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.122.3514.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.1714.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.052.3714.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.042.643.24
Details

4DMedical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 4DMedical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 4DMedical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold 4DMedical Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 4DMedical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.40
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.18
σ
Overall volatility
0.82
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

4DMedical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 4DMedical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for 4DMedical Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
4DMedical Limited is way too risky over 90 days horizon
4DMedical Limited appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 1.05 M. Net Loss for the year was (24.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 280.62 K.
4DMedical Limited has accumulated about 60.19 M in cash with (25.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.2.
Roughly 35.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

4DMedical Technical Analysis

4DMedical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 4DMedical Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of 4DMedical Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing 4DMedical Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

4DMedical Predictive Forecast Models

4DMedical's time-series forecasting models is one of many 4DMedical's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 4DMedical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about 4DMedical Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about 4DMedical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for 4DMedical Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
4DMedical Limited is way too risky over 90 days horizon
4DMedical Limited appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 1.05 M. Net Loss for the year was (24.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 280.62 K.
4DMedical Limited has accumulated about 60.19 M in cash with (25.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.2.
Roughly 35.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in 4DMedical Pink Sheet

4DMedical financial ratios help investors to determine whether 4DMedical Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 4DMedical with respect to the benefits of owning 4DMedical security.