4DMedical Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

FDMDF Stock  USD 2.91  0.19  6.13%   
4DMedical Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of 4DMedical's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 26th of January 2026 The relative strength index (RSI) of 4DMedical's share price is above 80 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 80

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of 4DMedical's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of 4DMedical and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from 4DMedical's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with 4DMedical Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using 4DMedical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of 4DMedical Limited from the perspective of 4DMedical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of 4DMedical Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 3.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.81.

4DMedical after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.91  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of 4DMedical to cross-verify your projections.

4DMedical Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine 4DMedical price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for 4DMedical using various technical indicators. When you analyze 4DMedical charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for 4DMedical is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of 4DMedical Limited value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

4DMedical Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of 4DMedical Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 3.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.81.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict 4DMedical Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that 4DMedical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

4DMedical Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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4DMedical Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting 4DMedical's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. 4DMedical's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 15.25, respectively. We have considered 4DMedical's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.91
3.24
Expected Value
15.25
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of 4DMedical pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent 4DMedical pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.0162
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1772
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1282
SAESum of the absolute errors10.8072
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of 4DMedical Limited. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict 4DMedical. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for 4DMedical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 4DMedical Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of 4DMedical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.152.9114.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.4514.45
Details

4DMedical After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of 4DMedical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in 4DMedical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of 4DMedical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

4DMedical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting 4DMedical's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on 4DMedical's historical news coverage. 4DMedical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.15 and 14.91, respectively. We have considered 4DMedical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.91
2.91
After-hype Price
14.91
Upside
4DMedical is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of 4DMedical Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.

4DMedical Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as 4DMedical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading 4DMedical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with 4DMedical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.84 
12.00
 0.00  
  0.21 
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.91
2.91
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

4DMedical Hype Timeline

4DMedical Limited is currently traded for 2.91. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.21. 4DMedical is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.84%. %. The volatility of related hype on 4DMedical is about 10285.71%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.12. About 35.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of 4DMedical was currently reported as 0.2. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.05. 4DMedical Limited had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of 4DMedical to cross-verify your projections.

4DMedical Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to 4DMedical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict 4DMedical's future price movements. Getting to know how 4DMedical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how 4DMedical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for 4DMedical

For every potential investor in 4DMedical, whether a beginner or expert, 4DMedical's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 4DMedical Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 4DMedical. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying 4DMedical's price trends.

4DMedical Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with 4DMedical pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of 4DMedical could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing 4DMedical by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

4DMedical Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how 4DMedical pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading 4DMedical shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying 4DMedical pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify 4DMedical Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

4DMedical Risk Indicators

The analysis of 4DMedical's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in 4DMedical's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting 4dmedical pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for 4DMedical

The number of cover stories for 4DMedical depends on current market conditions and 4DMedical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that 4DMedical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about 4DMedical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in 4DMedical Pink Sheet

4DMedical financial ratios help investors to determine whether 4DMedical Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 4DMedical with respect to the benefits of owning 4DMedical security.