Fidus Investment Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 19.16
| FDUS Stock | USD 21.29 0.21 1.00% |
Fidus |
Fidus Investment Target Price Odds to finish below 19.16
The tendency of Fidus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 19.16 or more in 90 days |
| 21.29 | 90 days | 19.16 | about 10.55 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fidus Investment to drop to $ 19.16 or more in 90 days from now is about 10.55 (This Fidus Investment Corp probability density function shows the probability of Fidus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fidus Investment Corp price to stay between $ 19.16 and its current price of $21.29 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.12 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Fidus Investment has a beta of 0.34. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fidus Investment average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fidus Investment Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fidus Investment Corp has an alpha of 0.0686, implying that it can generate a 0.0686 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Fidus Investment Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fidus Investment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fidus Investment Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fidus Investment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fidus Investment Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fidus Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fidus Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fidus Investment Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fidus Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Fidus Investment Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fidus Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fidus Investment Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Fidus Investment has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Shelby Sherard of 3675 shares of Fidus Investment at 13.6 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Fidus Investment Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fidus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fidus Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fidus Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 26.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 119.1 B |
Fidus Investment Technical Analysis
Fidus Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fidus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fidus Investment Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fidus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Fidus Investment Predictive Forecast Models
Fidus Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fidus Investment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fidus Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Fidus Investment Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Fidus Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fidus Investment Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Fidus Investment has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Shelby Sherard of 3675 shares of Fidus Investment at 13.6 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Additional Tools for Fidus Stock Analysis
When running Fidus Investment's price analysis, check to measure Fidus Investment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fidus Investment is operating at the current time. Most of Fidus Investment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fidus Investment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fidus Investment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fidus Investment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.